Data Science Capital Market

ARIYASUREN BALDANSENGE

**********************@***.*******.*** 857-***-****

https://www.linkedin.com/in/ariyasuren-baldansenge EDUCATION

Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Cambridge, MA Master in Public Administration in International Development May 2024 (Expected)

• Coursework: Includes advanced microeconomic and macroeconomics, finance, statistics and econometrics, data science, economic development, public management, politics and governance.

- Carried out an analysis for “Addressing Labor Productivity Gaps in Mongolia” using the Labor Force Survey data in Mongolia in statistics coursework.

• Scholarship: Mongolian Prime Minister’s Scholarship National University of Mongolia Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Bachelor of Arts in Economics 2012-2016

• Scholarship: Recipient of the Badraa Foundation Student Scholarship

• Awards: 1st place in National Econometrics Olympiad for the estimation of Mincer regression using Stata based on the Labor force survey

• Graduated with first division.

PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE

Weatherhead Center for International Affairs at Harvard University Cambridge, MA Research Assistant March 2023 – May 2023

• Conducting research on the relationship between unexpected inflation and the potential inflationary reduction of public debt in the United States

Bank of Mongolia Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia

Economist, Monetary Policy Department 2016-2022

• Forecasting and Economic Scenario Analysis: Conducted high-frequency and medium-term forecasts and scenario analysis of Gross Domestic Product, Balance of Payment, and commodity prices for use in monetary policy decision- making

• Examined model outputs based on professional judgement and correct if necessary

• Developed econometric models respective within sector needs

• Macroeconomic Analysis: Understand and explain macroeconomic phenomena, especially events occurring in real sector including economic sectors and labor market

• Collect and synthesize sectoral information and translate it into Mongolian economy

• Delivered webinars, original research, timely publication of relevant research papers and organization of conferences

• External Sector Analysis: Monitored and assessed the US, Chinese, EU, and Russian policies to inform decision- making

• Prepared reports on external sector development, forecasting, and policy trend

• Policy Document Preparation: Prepared core policy documents including Monetary Policy Proposal and “Monetary Policy Guideline” delivered to the Government of Mongolia for approval of annual monetary policy guidelines

• International Government Engagements: Liaised with IMF, World Bank, ADB for quarterly updated information on donor support

• Maintained strong relationship with partner organizations including IMF, WB, Ministries and commercial banks etc.

• Mentoring: Coached junior team members and newly joined interns; helped them to get up to speed with data analysis and macroeconomic forecasting

PROJECTS AND INTERNSHIP

European Bank for Reconstruction and Development London, The United Kingdom Intern at “Capital and Financial Markets Development Team” June 2023 – August 2023

• Diagnostics and analytical work: Conducted analysis of capital markets in the EBRD’s country of operations, produced analytical reports that adequately assess capital market development issues, supported the Capital and Financial Markets Development team

• Policy dialogue: Supported preparation of the CFMD team’s policy and briefing materials, assessed and followed up on financial/capital market development needs and reforms of the EBRD countries of operations to achieve more sustainable domestic markets

• Took initiative to automate data collection process: Initiated the development of a data collection system through web scraping

Bank of Korea and Bank of Mongolia Seoul, Korea and Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Knowledge Partnership Program - Research Team Member 2017

• Co-authored and published a monograph titled “Developing and Regulating Foreign Exchange Market in Mongolia” Financial Regulatory Commission Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Intern Spring 2016

• Facilitated the arrangement of financial records of non-banking financial institutions

• Assisted with daily operations

National Research and Consulting Center Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Intern Summer 2015

• Entered data for the Consumer Confidence Index survey, with a sample size of 1000 respondents.

• Conducted participant surveys that contributed to the publication of "Demand-Driven Youth Training Programs: Experimental Evidence from Mongolia" in the World Bank Economic Review, published in October 2021 PUBLICATIONS

“Microeconomic factor in exchange rate volatility: Order flow”, Research Compilation, Bank of Mongolia, 2021

“Inclusive Growth: A case of Mongolia”, Money, Finance, and Wealth, Bank of Mongolia, 2021 (collective)

“Growth Diagnostics: A case of Mongolia”, Research Compilation, Bank of Mongolia, 2021, joint with B. Erkhembayar Available here

“Developing and Regulating Foreign Exchange Market in Mongolia”, Monograph, Bank of Korea and Bank of Mongolia, 2017 (collective)

Prepared and published bi-weekly reports on global economic outlook on the website of the Bank of Mongolia (December 2021-August 2022). Available here

COURSE CERTIFICATES

IMF Institute Financial Development and Financial Inclusion August 2021 Istanbul School of Central Banking Applied Econometrics for Emerging Market Central Banks November 2019 IMF-CDOT Macroeconomic Diagnostics August 2019

IMF Singapore Regional Training Exchange Rate Policy January 2019 IMF Singapore Regional Training Monetary Policy November 2018 The SEACEN Centre Econometric Modelling and Forecasting October 2017 Technical Skills: Stata, R, Python, EViews, Bloomberg Terminal, MS Excel

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