ALAN J. SALZBERG
Analysis & Inference, Inc.
New York, New York 10004
Tel 646-***-****; Fax 208-***-**** *********@********************.***
EXPERIENCE
Analysis and Inference
2008-present
CEOProvide authoritative research and consulting services in statistics
nationwide to corporations, government agencies, and organizations. The firm is skilled at
presenting complex ideas to non-experts.Capabilities include statistical modeling and analysis of
data, data mining, probability, sampling, statistical significance, validity and reliability, forecasting
and time series, quality control, survey and experimental design, regression. Principal topic areas
have been surveys, discrimination, insurance, healthcare, theft and fraud, risk analysis, product
liability, telecommunications, commercial litigation and damages, public policy, and education.
Precision Economics, LLC
Washington, DC, 2001 - Present
Affiliate
and Managing DirectorProvide statistical analysis and analytical
services on a variety of issues, focusing on
economics and trade practice.Quantitative Analysis, Inc.
2000 - 2008
PrincipalFounder and Principal of a consulting company
that specializes in quantitative analyses of
complex data through statistical modeling and
estimation techniques.Clients include: BearingPoint; City of New
York; U.S. Customs ServiceKPMG LLP
New York, NY, 1996 - 2000
Practice Leader,
Quantitative Analysis GroupEstablished and led the New York office of
KPMG's Quantitative Analysis Group. Built a
consulting practice with annual revenues of
$4 million.Morgan Stanley
1988 - 1990, 1995 - 1996
AssociatePerformed statistical modeling and software
design.Analysis and Inference
1991 - 1995
StatisticianAnalyzed data and wrote reports in support
of statistical consulting and research.
Relevant Engagements
Direct and conduct data analysis and statistical
design in an ongoing series of tests for Bell
South, Verizon, Ameritech, and Qwest. Beginning
in 1998, developed software and procedures for
calculating performance metrics and evaluating
the competitive environment. Concerning testing
done for Verizon, testified in hearings before
the New York and Virginia Commissions. Also
testified before other state public service
commissions concerning testing performed at
Bell South, Ameritech, and Qwest.For the City of New York in a potential litigation
matter, created and analyzed a massive real
estate database. Modeled market and sales values
to determine potential biases of alternative
methods of valuing commercial real estate.Evaluate the credibility of statistical sampling
and analysis used to track and categorize imports,
for the Office of Inspector General at the United
States Customs Service. Suggested improved methods
of sampling and implementation.Modeled television audience ratings to determine
the Public Broadcasting System's share of cable
royalty distributions. Used statistical methods
to determine a reliable estimate of PBS's cable
royalty share. The estimate resulted in a multi-million
dollar decision in favor of the Public Broadcasting
System by the Cable Royalty Tribunal.Analyzed various mathematical allocation schemes
for paying settlement claims in asbestos lawsuits.
Based upon entire body of claims data, determined
biases of different schemes and relationships
between settlement costs, industry, and geographical
location.For a top internet advertising company, evaluated
the technology of a potential acquisition. Analyzed
company data to determine the approximate sales
lift from a proprietary algorithm that targets
potential customers based on click-stream data.For an insurance company with several hundred
million dollars in yearly commissions, performed
data analytics and statistical analysis to quantify
the extent of commission under and over payments.
Helped the company prove that the error rate
was on the order of only $1 million.In a litigation matter concerning fraud by
a car service (on behalf of the City of New
York), designed a sample and analyzed data.
Using three separate statistical models and
data sources, quantitatively estimated the amount
fraudulently billed to the City by the car service.
The analysis involved over 100,000 trips billed
over several years. Co-wrote an extensive report
on the findings of the analysis.Designed and implemented several studies of
stock basis in corporate mergers. One universe
comprised over 100 million shares and more than
20,000 shareholders, yet the sample design resulted
in a highly precise estimate using data for
fewer than 1,000 shareholders.Analyzed hiring, promotion, termination, and
compensation data in sex discrimination case
against a prominent New York brokerage house.
Case was heard before a New York Stock Exchange
Arbitration panel.Analyzed the relationships between school
funding, property values, and personal income
in lawsuits challenging the constitutionality
of public school financing in Pennsylvania and
Massachusetts. The Massachusetts case was heard
before the Supreme Judicial Court of Massachusetts.
EDUCATION
The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania,
Philadelphia, PA, 1995
The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania,
Philadelphia, PA, 1992Honors: Cum LaudeThe Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania,
Philadelphia, PA, 1988
RESEARCH
“Evaluating the Environmental Literacy of Israeli Elementary and High School Students,” with Maya
Negev, Gonen Sagy, and Alon Tal, Journal of Environmental Education, Winter 2008. Presented
results before Israeli Congressional committee in July 2007.
“Trends in Environmental Education in Israel,” with Gonen Sagy, Maya Negev, Yaakov Garb, and
Alon Tal, Studies in Natural Resources and Environment, Vol. 6, 2008. [In Hebrew]
“Results from a Representative Sample in the Israeli Educational System,” with Gonen Sagy, Maya
Negev, Yaakov Garb, and Alon Tal, Studies in Natural Resources and Environment, Vol. 6, 2008. [In
Hebrew]
“Comment on Local model uncertainty and incomplete-data bias by Copas and Li,” with Paul R.
Rosenbaum, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 2005.
“Determining Air Exchange Rates in Schools Using Carbon Dioxide Monitoring”, with D. Salzberg
and C. Fiegley, presented at the American Industrial Hygiene Conference and Expo, 2004.
"The Modified
Z versus the Permutation Test in Third Party Telecommunications
Testing", Proceedings
of the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings of the
American Statistical Association.
"Removable
Selection Bias in Quasi-experiments," The
American Statistician, May 1999.
"Skewed oligomers
and origins of replication," with S. Salzberg,
A. Kervalage, and J. Tomb, Gene,
Volume 217, Issue 1-2 (1998), pp. 57-67. Also
presented this paper in an invited talk at Hebrew
University in Jerusalem in February, 1999.
"Selection
Bias in Quasi-experiments," (Doctoral Thesis),
1995.
One of five inventors on a pending patent for
statistical process design related to information
systems testing.
PERSONAL
Married, with a daughter (Bayle), and a son (Caleb).
Interests: Enjoy ultimate, basketball, biking,
hiking, tennis, skiing, chess, and bridge.
1901 Pennsylvania Ave. NW, Suite 200, Washington DC, 20006 t.202-***-**** f.202-***-****
***********@*************.***
copyright since 2003 Precision Economics, LLC. All rights reserved.
copyright since 2003 Precision Economics, LLC.