Li Zhu, Ph.D.
West Chester, PA 19380
Tel.: 484-***-**** (Mobile)
626-***-**** (Work)
Email: ********@*****.*** or ******@*******.***
PROFILE: Over 15 year working experience in investment companies and
insurance company as Sr. database marketing analyst, Sr. manager
of decision support/CRM, Sr. investment analyst, and most
recently Sr. investment strategist and portfolio risk manager of fixed-
income and derivatives. I am a seasoned investment professional,
effective communicator and presenter, and successful people
manager.
EDUCATION:
Ph.D. in Economics, University of Florida
M.S. in Operating Research, Shanghai University of Economics and
Finance
M.A. in Economics, People's University of China
B.S. in Mathematics and Statistics, East China Normal University
PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATION AND HONORS
CFA Level-III Candidate
Membership of Beta Gamma Sigma - the Honor Society for Collegiate
School of Business, 1996
Graduate Scholarship - University of Florida 1990 ~ 1995
Ford Foundation Fellowship - U.S./Sino Economics Exchange Committee
1986 ~1987
PROGRAMMING and COMPUTER SKILLS
Very proficient in SAS, SQL, Excel and VBA, POINT, FinCad, and
Bloomberg System
EXPERIENCE:
10/2009 ~, Western Asset Management Co., Senior Portfolio Risk
Manager/Modeler,
. Monitoring and managing risk exposure of US TIPS, Global Inflation
Linker, Levered Enhanced Cash portfolio, Absolute Return, and Muni
portfolios
. Setting up the risk tolerance levels for portfolios under different
risk measures
. Researching and deriving the analytics of derivatives, e.g., futures,
options, swaps, and swaptions and measuring counterparty risk
. Hedging negative convexity of mortgage TBA.
. Selecting the benchmark of absolute return portfolios
. Researching the pattern of MBS default burnout, etc.
. ...
04/1999 ~ 04/2009, The Vanguard Group of Investment (VGI)
10/2004 ~ 04/2009, The Risk Management and Strategy Analysis Group, Senior
Investment Strategist/Portfolio Risk Manager with 1 direct report and
several project-oriented reports. Reporting directly to chief investment
risk officer (CIRO) of the company, my main responsibilities include
leading the research and operational projects, reporting the results and
recommendations to the CIRO, the head of fixed-income group, and the
portfolio managers, and providing investment consulting to internal
investment and sale professionals. Specifically, I have
. worked as a member of portfolio management team of Vanguard's Treasury
Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) Fund and conducted research on
relative value modeling and portfolio strategy evaluation.
o Participated in determination of duration exposure (real yield
and breakeven inflation) for the portfolio.
o Evaluated TIPS deflation floor protection option.
o Evaluated different yield curve strategies for Treasury and TIPS
portfolios.
o TIPS' curve dynamics and the effect of cash neutral duration
strategies.
o Created inflation-carry and seasonality adjusted forward
(future) real yield curves and forward (future) break-even
inflation curves.
o Investigated TIPS return/risk characteristics during auction
seasons and when there is large deviation between CPI
announcement and its market expectation.
o Created live relative value platform for TIPS through Bloomberg
API and implement alpha strategies with the trader.
. worked as the leader of municipal bonds analytic team of 5 analysts
and as a member of muni interest-rate strategy team.
o Analyzed hedging effectiveness of BMA swaps, LIBOR swaps, and
Treasury futures for muni interest-rate risk and implemented the
hedging strategies
o Created and operated a risk model and a performance attribution
model for Vanguard's municipal bond portfolios based on S&P muni
data feeds and the appended Wilshire analytics
o Evaluated Municipal bonds' prerefunding option and the estimated
the likelihood of exercising using logistic regression and
incorporate this measure to the relative value measure of
individual muni bonds
o Tobacco turbo bonds prepayment and duration analysis and
calculated optioned-adjusted duration
o Investigated the relationship between muni curve movements and
market value of secondary convexities, such as deminimus, call
option value, etc. and provided information for muni-rate
strategy meetings
o Factorial analysis of Mob Ratio (muni yield/Try yield) dynamics.
. worked as the leading quant analyst of IG and HY strategy groups in
close collaboration with portfolio managers and credit analysts
o Created and operated a rich/cheap model for corporate bonds
(Lehman universe) and CDS (MARKIT data) at individual security
level and sector level.
o The hedging implication of nonstationarity of CDS basis.
o Hedged OAS risk of floater notes with CDX.
o Participated in designing and executing counterparty risk
involved in the derivatives used by investment portfolios.
o Extending DTS (Duration-time-Spread) measure of credit-spread
risk to other asset classes (IG, HY, MBS, CMBS, Agencies, ABS,
etc.) in the Lehman Agg. Index and created a high level fixed-
income portfolio risk-budgeting based on the common measure.
o Hedging interest-rate risk of MBS with interest-rate options.
. Other responsibilities and works within fixed-income group
o Operating performance attribution for taxable bond portfolios.
o Predicting the aggregate credit card charge-off rate.
o Analyzing MBS duration change due to prepayment.
02/2002 ~ 09/2004, The Investment Research and Counseling Group, Sr.
Investment Analyst
. More general responsibilities and researches
o Supporting senior management in product evaluation and
development, and internal institutional-sales professionals in
providing the insights and functions of various investment
products by prepare presentations and direct consultation
o Researching the effectiveness of different asset/liability
immunization methods
o Risk and return analysis for private equity and hedge funds
o Structure equity portfolio analysis - finding the common
performance/risk contributors
o How predictable is the outperformance of equity portfolio
managers?
o Does a team of manager produce more robust performance than
individual manager?
o TIPS and inflation uncertainty
o Goal based portfolio optimization
o Enhancing index bond portfolio with short-term IG overlay
04/1999 ~ 01/2002, The Marketing Group, Sr. Manager of Decision
Support/Client Intelligence
. Managed a group of 5 ~ 11 professionals, participating marketing
strategy analysis, and conducted quantitative/qualitative marketing
research
o Direct mail marketing response modeling and scoring
o Client Segmentation for continuous wallet deepening (adding new
funds to new and high potential clients)
o Modeling and measuring cross-sale efforts, e.g., adding planning
and brokerage services to profitable clients (response rate,
assign-on rate, usage prediction)
o Current and near future profitability scoring
o Predicting attrition (redemption and relationship ending) using
proportional hazard model
o Providing logistic support and planning various marketing
initiatives (magazine ads, email campaign, TV commercial
experiments)
o Modeling the high-frequency/excessive trading behavior
o Analyzing client satisfaction survey results
o Participating and designing the client information data
warehouse
03/1998 ~ 03/1999, GE Financial Assurance (GEFA), Manager of Analytic
Service
. Managed two statistical modelers
. Worked with actuarial department to create pricing models for GEFA's
insurance products through a expected profitability model that
includes the estimation of response rate, sign-on rate, collectable
total premium combined with actuarial estimates
. Database marketing FEFA insurance products through modeling the sign-
up rate, relationship duration and lapse rate.
05/1997 ~ 03/1998, American Century Investments, Senior Database Marketing
Analyst
. Direct mail marketing modeling
. TV commercial marketing effectiveness assessment
08/1996 ~ 05/1997, Kansas Health Research Institute
Research Fellow in Healthcare Professional Development Planning
08/1995 ~ 08/1996, Kansas State University,
Visiting Professor, teaching graduate macroeconomics and econometrics
CITIZENSHIP/RESIDENCE: U.S. Citizen
PUBLICATIONS:
"The Role of the Discount Rate in Monetary Policy," Federal Reserve Bank of
Kansas Working Paper, 94-01, Coauthored with Mark Rush and Gordon Sellon
"Private Equity Performance Measurement and Its Role in a Portfolio," The
Journal of Wealth Management, Summer 2004, Coauthored with Joseph Davis.