MATLAB, E-views, Gem Pack, Troll IT/business projects

WALEED

EL-SAFTY

Macroeconomic Research & Modeling Director

USA, MI

KSA, Riyad

Egypt, Cairo

+966-556-***-**** +20-100*******

adb3gz@r.postjobfree.com

Dr. Waleed El-Safty

Macroeconomic Modeling Adviser

25 years of experience

POB: Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Nationality: USA

Public Policy and Policy analysis

Economic Forecast

Economic Modeling (CGE, IO)

Financial models

Cost to Benefit Analysis

Strategic Planning

Operational Improvement

Project management

Business Intelligence

Business analysis and development.

MATLAB, E-views, Gem Pack, Troll

IT/business projects

Software Development

Relational Database

Information System Audit

AREAS of EXPERIENCE

English: Fluent - Native

Arabic: Fluent

LANGUAGES

• Dr. Ahmed Habib Salah

Deputy Minister (economic Affairs)

Ministry of Economics and Planning

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

• Dr. Ahmed Al Zahrany

Economic Research Director

Saudi Royal Court, Saudi Arabia

• Professor Philip Adams

Centre of Policy Studies

Victoria University, Australia

• Dr. Belal Yehia

Economic professor

Modern Academy, Cairo-Egypt

• Richard Sheridan

CEO and Chief Storyteller at Menlo

Detroit, Mi, USA

REFERENCES

Doctorate Economic Development

Masters Management Information

Systems/Economics

Bachelors business administration

Bachelors Insurance accounting

CISA

QUALIFICATIONS

PMP

Highly experienced Macroeconomic Modeling and policy analysis Professional, with extensive background in macroeconomic and mathematical modeling design and operations, economic modeling and forecasting, and policy analysis. Demonstrated expertise in MATLAB, Troll, GAMS and E-views with proficiency in programming and project management. Adept in all aspects of model calibration, parameter estimations, validations and model enhancements with the ability to apply optimal levels of quality control and quality assurance to all projects. OVERVIEW

Diplomas /Certificates:

− CISA, ISACA

− PMP, PMI

Publications:

− Construction of CGE Macro Economic Model for Saudi Arabia

− Construction of Water Model, Saudi Arabia

− Linkage of CGE and Demand Model for Saudi Arabia DIPLOMAS /CERTIFICATES/ PUBLICATIONS

for the past 13 Years, working for both the Ministry of planning and the Ministry of Energy in Saudi Arabia, heavily involved in the strategic planning and Macroeconomic Modeling, and 3 consecutive 5-years Socioeconomic Plan for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and heavily involved in the Energy reform policy, Saudi Vision 2030 policy analysis Utilizing a range of preexisting and self-designed Input-Output, CGE, Econometric, and Demand Models. Leading Large teams of Economists, and Macroeconomic Modelers in Key Economic programs, and reporting analysis and finding to High level government officials, Policy makers, ministers, and Royal princes.

Key Programs:

1. Team Lead Energy Price Reform Policy (EPR)

2. Saudi National Industrial Strategy

3. Saudization Employment Program

4. Saudi Vision 2030

a. Fiscal Balance Program (Vision Realization 2030) b. National Transformation Program 2020 (Vision Realization 2030) Key Projects:

1. Input/output SUT Model

2. Sustainability Report Saudi Arabia 2017 (Industry 4.0) 3. Sustainability Report Egypt 2018 (Macroeconomic Indicators) 4. Dynamic CGE model Design & implementation

5. Saudi Macroeconomic Demand Model

6. Energy Substitution Model

7. Saudi Water and Irrigation Model

8. Saudi Food Scurity Straticy (Irrigation Water resources, and Food Processing) 9. National Macroeconomic Models & Data Repository 10. Macroeconomic & Modeling Data Mapping System

KEY PROJECTS/PROGRAMS

EDUCATION

Willington University

USA 2011-2013

Doctorate of Economic Development

Master of Management Information

Systems & Economics

Eastern Michigan University

USA 1999-2003

Bachelor of Insurance Science & Accounting

Cairo University

Cairo, Egypt 1994-1995

Bachelor of Business Administration

Cairo University

Cairo, Egypt 1990-1994

WORK EXPERIENCE

Ministry of Energy

National Industrial Clusters

Development Program

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Aug 2016 - Current

Macroeconomic Research and Modeling Director

• Team Leader of Macroeconomic Modeling, and technical adviser for the Energy Price Reform Committee (MIEM, Industrial Clusters, KAPSARC, IQRA, SIDF, SAMA, Aramco, Wood-McKenzie)

• Preparing Saudi National Industry Annual report (Industry, Mining, Macroeconomic Analysis)

• Preparing National Industrial Strategy (NIS- Vision 2030) Macroeconomic Analysis.

• Preparing National Food processing cluster Strategy (FPC-Vission 2030)macroeconomic analysis/ against agriculture policies and water resources

• Preparing Saudi Sustainability Report 2017-18(Industry /Mining/ Energy /Water Consumption,Food Security)

• Developing Local Content Economic Analysis Model (industry 4.0 / Sustainability report)

• Design and Implement CBA-Model (a cost to benefit analysis model for Mega FDI-Industrial mega projects)

• Developing a new Dynamic CGE Model (IC-GEM), focusing on Energy, and Water recourses, production and consumption for Industrial sectors (Oil, Energy Intencive, Manufacturing and Food Processing industries).

ENI, Italian Oil Company

IECO- International Egyptian Oil

Company

Cairo, Egypt

Mar 2006 -Jun 2007

Assistant Regional Information System Strategic Planner

• Administered short and long-term Oil Production forecasts utilizing existing Financial and Regional Oil and Gas Models

• Created relevant management information, trends and analysis for global oil production and oil and gas price projections to support infrastructure investment decision making

• Defined required inputs through effective collaboration with organization’s oil engineers, financial planners and other key personnel to support compilation and analysis of long- term planning process

• Initiated cost benefit analysis for information system and communication system infrastructure

• Formulated RFP for software development and acquired third party software packages

• Negotiated technical specifications of scientific, financial, and economic modeling applications

• Developed technical presentations for internal and external key stakeholders UNDP- DESA

Ministry of Economic and Planning

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Jul 2007 – Jul 2016

Macroeconomic Modeling Advisor

• Prepare Saudi Arabia Socio Economic 5-year Plan (8th, 9th Plan) Macroeconomic forecast and Analysis, and Preparing 10th plan (Later changed to annually rolling plan)

• Prepare annual macroeconomic follow-up report

• Prepare annual Saudi Arabia Economic Report ("Saudi Arabia Kingdom In Numbers")

• Mapping Sustainable development goals to Saudi Economy and prepare first preliminary sustainability report (Energy, Industry, Economic Growth)

• Operate, maintain, and update MEP suite of models (Short-term Econometric Model, Medium–term CGE Model, and Long-term model) and corresponding databases

• Calibrate suite of models and conduct parameter estimation for all the behavioral equations in the models, validating, enhancing and monitoring as required to ensure quality assurance

• Design and implement IO-Output, IO-Price, IO-Value-Added sub-models, and KSA-Water- Irrigation Model and KSA-Regional-CGE Model as a part of the MEP suite of Models

• Maintain the Ministries' Oil Models to project the optimal crude oil production levels within the boundaries of the production quota by OPEC and Oil Price (both production levels and Oil prices being results of the Oil models used in the medium term CGE Model as exogenous variables), for use in the Kingdom's five-year socioeconomic plan.

• Maintain the Ministries' Water-Irrigation Models to project the optimal Irrigation qouatas per crop types to maintain healthy levels of water resources, and regulate growing of water intensive crops, for the optimal food security within the limited water resources of the kingdom, and restructure food processing industries and import exports policies fro food comodeties to maintain the highest level of food Security and sustainability.

• Collaborate with the Central Department of Information & Statistics and relevant MEP Departments and Macroeconomic Modeling Group, under the guidance of National Project Manager

• Created and implemented the unified modeling database and reporting application in VBA, MA-Access, and integrated the system with the ministry infrastructure of a newly devised government system, dynamically linking it with other government agencies SIRVA Int. Relocation & Moving

Fort Wayne, IN, USA

Apr 2003 – Jan 2006

System Analyst

• Project Manager, responsible for design, planning and coordination of work teams, providing technical support to project team members and defining project scope and milestones

• Mapped system functions, requirements, cost estimating and operational budgets

• Collaborated within a team of three project leads and 16 developers to design and implement the Stars and Stripes Moving System (SSMS) for SIRVA, Inc. a Fully integrated Logistics system specifically designed to be used by the US Department of Defense Egyptian Anglo Co. for mutual fund

management

Cairo, Egypt

Jun 1996 – Dec 1999

Financial Analyst

• Monitored and analyzed the financial state of Egyptian economic environment

• Clarified investment opportunities

• Short-term investment decisions and operation of portfolio management.

• Prepared and conducted financial presentations to top management and key investors

• Developed the Stock Monitoring and Prediction Model (SMPM), a mathematical model to keep track of key stocks that the company is interested in and facilitate the decision making in investment on s specific stock, and increased the predictability of the value of a stock from 43% to 85%

•

WORK EXPERIENCE

Tumbleweed Communications, Inc.

Ann Arbor, MI, USA

May 2000 – Jan 2002

System Engineer/Data Architect

• Part of a team that designed and developed L2i technology system (legacy to Internet) in Java, J2EE, EJB, CORBA, using ASP, JSP, XML, DB2, Oracle.

• Worked on a parser that translated the information stored in an ASF, and/or AFP files to a PDF files and from the PDF files to collect all data types based on the user preferences to be rendered into the database of the user's choice (SQL server, Oracle or DB2)

• Helped design the biweekly plan process. This process helped the project manager assign jobs or phases in existing projects to developers based on the priority of the job and the time frame estimated for each job to be completed and tested.

• Prepared and preformed technical presentations to other developers to introduce them to the concepts of artificial intelligent. Also, prepared presentations to keep them informed with progress done to applications they are involved with.

• Prepared proof of concept presentations to top management and sales team

• All development performed under Extreme Programming XP techniques. Fund Balance -Tayler Technologies

Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Jan 2000 – May 2000

Software Developer

• Designed a financial application using the standards of UML in Select enterprise.

• Migrated the existing DOS based software to win32 Client/Server application.

• Implemented a financial application using Microsoft Visual C++, MFC, COM, ATL, and Microsoft Access.

• Participated in all phases of the system life cycle testing and debugging plans for converting the DOS system to Win32 Client/Server system.

• Documented all design modifications and development procedures undertaken by the product development team with the coordination of the team lead and other developers working on the same project.

Allied Investors Insurance Co- GIG

Cairo, Egypt

May 1994 – Jun 1996

Reinsurance Underwriter

• Reinsurance and direct insurance underwriting, risk management

• Reinsurance treaties follow up, financial statement preparation, risk folio allocation, claims adjustment.

• Tutored Insurance Theory to insurance brokers (salesmen) and major clients (Concepts of Insurance).

• Trained inexperienced staff (OTJ). Helped create and maintain the training program for the brokering team

KAS 2000 Keen Advanced Solutions

Ypsilanti, MI

Dec 2000 – Jan 2006

Senior Business System Analyst / Data Architect

• Directed a team of four developers to design and implement the Economic Development Tracking System (EDTS) for Washtenaw Development Council (WDC)

• Spearheaded a team of seven developers in implementing Daimler Chrysler Dashboard

(DCD) in ASP .NET, VB, Oracle and IIS

• Helmed a team of four developers in designing and implementing an online Loan Application System for First Equity Residential Mortgage, Inc. (FERMINET) utilizing ASP, VB Script, Java Script, XML, SQL Server 2000, and Active X

• Developed and conducted presentations for KAS2000’s existing and potential clients, mapping system functions, requirements, cost estimating, operational budgets for the Information Services, and proof of concept for projects undertaken

• Supported setup of operational practices according to the IS Audit Charter and in accordance with ISACA best practices, and conducted internal IS Audit for other projects for quality assurance purposes

• Trained a group of economists on Troll in entry, intermediate and advanced levels

• Designed and implemented a web application to integrate between Troll and SQL Server in ASP .Net, enabling a user-friendly Troll usage for economists with limited Troll skills

•

REFERENCES

Dr. Ahmed Habib Salah

adb3gz@r.postjobfree.com

Mobile: +966-*********

Deputy Minister (economic Affairs)

Ministry of Economics and Planning

Riyadh - Saudi Arabia

Dr. Ahmed Al Zahrany

adb3gz@r.postjobfree.com

Mobile: +966-*********

Economic Research Director

Saudi Royal Court

Riyadh - Saudi Arabia

Professor Philip Adams

adb3gz@r.postjobfree.com

Mobile: +61 (0-427******

Centre of Policy Studies

Victoria University

Melbourne, Victoria -Australia

Dr. Belal Yehia

adb3gz@r.postjobfree.com

Mobile: +2 (0-109*******

Professor of Economics

Modern Academy

Cairo - Egypt

Rich Sheridan

adb3gz@r.postjobfree.com

Mob.: +32-477-**-**-**

CEO and Chief Storyteller at Menlo Innovations;

Author of Joy, Inc.

Detroit, Mi, USA

Contact this candidate