KENT R. KROEGER

* ********** ******

Titusville, NJ 08560

Phone: 515-***-****

e-mail: ad1zr9@r.postjobfree.com

STATISICAL MODELING EXPERIENCE:

Policy analysis and econometric modeling. Over 15 years of experience applying the following statistical techniques: ANOVA/MANOVA, Multivariate Regression (including OLS, WLS, GLM, Simultaneous Equation Estimation, Path Analysis, Non-linear Modeling, Poisson, Logit/Probit, Bayesian Regression), Structural Equation Modeling (using AMOS and SAS PROC CALIS), Propensity Score Analysis, Heckman Adjustment for Selection Bias, and Survival Analysis.

Time-series forecasting. Over 10 years of experience applying time-series identification and forecasting techniques: Multiple Regression, ARIMA/ARIMAX modeling, Transfer Function models, Bayesian Dynamic Forecasting, Brier Score Variance Decomposition, Co-integration models, Vector Autoregression, and Pooled Time-series.

Data mining and segmentation techniques. Experience using cluster analysis, factor analysis, and data mining techniques, such as CART, decision trees, neural networks, and random forests, to analyze consumers and media audiences.

Probability Sampling and Survey Weighting. Over 15 years of experience with a wide variety of sampling techniques for economic, social and business analytic studies, including Stratified Sampling, Poststratification, Two-stage Cluster Sampling with Unequal Probabilities, Unequal Probability Sampling without Replacement, Sampling for Rare Events, and Variance Estimation for Complex Surveys.

COMPUTER PROGRAMMING EXPERIENCE:

Statistical programming. Over 15 years of experience using SAS 9.x, IBM SPSS, SUDAAN, Stata, SPlus, Wincross. Ten years of experience using R and Python.

Database management. Over 10 years of experience using SAS-callable SQL, and MySQL.

Business Software. Over 15 years of experience using MS Word, MS Excel, MS Front Page, MS PowerPoint, MS Project and Tableau

GIS / Mapping Software. Five years of experience using MapInfo Professional 10.5, ArcView 9.1, and R-mapping capabilities (ggplot2, ggmap, maps, mapdata)

AI / Machine Learning. Five years of experience using R and SAS-based machine learning algorithms (linear discriminant analysis, CART, k-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machines, and Random Forest

EXPERIENCE:

Jan. 2014 – present. Retired (Part-time Consultant), Titusville, NJ 08560.

Provide analytic and statistical support to academic, corporate, and government clients.

My services include experimental research design, complex survey sampling design, survey data weighting and the application of appropriate statistical significance measures for hypothesis testing. We also provide advanced statistical and database programming solutions using SAS, SPSS, Stata, R, MySQL, Python, and PHP.

Sept. 2012 – Dec. 2013. Director of Survey & Behavioral Research Services / Coordinator for Statistical Consulting, Dept. of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50010.

Initial point of contact for university researchers seeking statistical support, supervised graduate assistants who provide statistical support for the Agricultural Experiment Station and other campus units.

Provided support for use of statistical software packages, including organization of training workshops and serving as a liaison to software providers and professional user groups.

Oversaw SBRS resources and staff, promotion of SBRS services, provided statistical advice to SBRS, and participated in the development of multidisciplinary research proposals.

Nov. 2007 – Oct. 2011. Statistician, Defense Intelligence Agency, Office of the Inspector General (IG-DIA), Department of Defense (DoD), Washington, D.C. 20340.

Supported IG investigators, auditors and inspectors with quantitative data analyses of DIA intelligence, financial and personnel information.

Led analytic effort in the building and testing of the U.S. intelligence community's first successful analytic prediction market, including the analysis of its market structure, efficiency and predictive performance.

Developed an operational risk assessment tool to help senior leaders track risk indicators across all DIA intelligence activities; this database provided senior leadership with quantitative measures of risk with respect to threat probabilities, vulnerabilities, and consequences.

Nov. 2002 – Nov. 2007. Survey Statistician (Team Lead) - Defense Manpower Data Center, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness, DoD, Pentagon, Arlington, VA 22209.

Build predictive models in SAS to address issues and problems related to U.S. Military personnel (Experience with SAS Base, SAS/STAT, SAS/ETS, SAS/INSIGHT, SAS/OR).

Build analytic datasets using queries (SAS-callable SQL - PROC SQL, PL/1) to extract data from IBM-legacy and Oracle databases (Version 10x).

Developed the concept of "stress clusters" to assist the Under Secretary of Defense (Personnel & Readiness) in understanding the impact of multiple combat deployments on soldier work satisfaction, quality of life and retention intentions.

Led team that developed a data mining tool that predicted the likelihood of a service member deciding to remain in the military.

Aug. 1999 – Aug. 2002. Director of Market Research and Analysis - Sirius Satellite Radio, 1221 Ave. of the Americas, New York, NY 10020.

Conducted market research for the development and launch of Sirius Satellite Radio

Developed Sirius’ financial projections based on demand modeling (Bass Model) which was critical in helping Sirius solicit venture capital funding

Provided research used to inform contract negotiations with media content partners (NFL Football, Howard Stern, Disney/ESPN).

May 1998 – July 1999. Senior Researcher– America On Line (Moviefone), New York, NY 10020.

Developed a syndicated research product for predicting movie box office performance from the analysis of Moviefone.com call data. Using regression-based data mining techniques, we were able to successfully predict opening week box office receipts for U.S. movie releases within 10 percent of their actual opening week box office.

Conducted primary market research for clients such as NBC Television, The Disney Company, and Universal Studios.

Jan. 1997 – Jan. 1998. Manager of Strategic Research – National Public Radio, Washington, D.C.

Conducted strategic research for National Public Radio's senior leadership using primary and secondary research data sources.

Analyzed syndicated (Scarborough, ACNielsen, Simmons, Stanford University's VALS) to assist NPR's development efforts to maximize efficiency of listerner-based fundraising efforts (direct mail, telephone-based marketing).

Aug. 1993 – Jan. 1997. Study Director – Market Facts, Inc. (now part of IPSOS), Washington, D.C.

Conducted primary market research for clients such as MCI Communications, The Discovery Channel, AT&T, U.S. Postal Service, FDIC, The U.S. Navy (Seebeas).

Was responsible for sales development, proposal writing research design, data collection management, quality control, analysis, report writing and data presentation to the customer.

Analyzed direct mail efficiency for The Discovery Channel's (TDC) efforts to promote its educational product lines using Market Facts' U.S. Household Mail Panel (400,000+ households). Refined TDCs targeting methods based on the research results.

EDUCATION:

University of Iowa

B.S. Journalism and Political Science (May 1987)

A.B.D. Political Science (May 1992)

Columbia University

M.A. Quantitative Methods (May 2001)

National Defense Intelligence College

Graduate Certificate in Strategic Intelligence (May 2011)

PUBLICATIONS:

Annual Report to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence and the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence. (Reports: 2009, 2010, 2011). Washington, D.C.: Office of the Inspector General, Defense Intelligence Agency.

Defense Intelligence Agency Management Challenges. (Reports: 2009, 2010, 2011). Washington, D.C.: Office of the Inspector General, Defense Intelligence Agency.

Statistical Design of the Status of Forces: Surveys of Department of Defense Civilians. (with Richard A. Riemer). (2004). Arlington, VA: Dept. of Defense, Defense Manpower Data Center.

2002 Status of the Armed Forces Survey - Workplace and Gender Relations: Statistical Methodology Report (DMDC Report No. 2003-014). Editor (with B. J. George). (2003). Arlington, VA: Defense Manpower Data Center.

“Global Competency and Intercultural Sensitivity.” (with Christa L. Olson). (Summer 2001). Journal of Studies in International Education 5(2):116-137.

“Shaping a Candidate’s Image in the Press: Ronald Reagan and the 1980 Presidential Election.” (with Cary R. Covington and Glenn W. Richardson). (1994). In Miller, Arthur H. and Bruce Gronbeck, eds. Presidential Campaigns and American Self-Images. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.

“Ronald Reagan’s ‘Issue of the Day’ Strategy and Differences in Its Impact on Television and the Print Media During the 1980 Election.” (with Cary R. Covington, Glenn W. Richardson and J. David Woodard). (1993). Political Research Quarterly 46(4):483-98.

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