Project Research
Resume:
CIRRICULUM VITAE OF JAGADISH SHUKLA:
(*. Resume; 2. Service to Community; 3. Summary of Scientific Contributions; 4. Publications)
1. RESUME
ADDRESS:
Distinguished Professor, George Mason University (GMU)
President, Institute of Global Environment and Society, Inc. (IGES)
4041 Powder Mill Road, Suite 302, Calverton, MD 20705-3106
Tel: 301-***-****; Fax: 301-***-****; E-mail: abqcfj@r.postjobfree.com
EDUCATION:
Primary School (1953) Under a banyan tree; village Mirdha, Ballia, U.P., India
High School (1958) S.R.S. H.S. School, village Sheopur, Ballia, U.P., India
B.Sc. (Honors) (1962) Banaras Hindu University (Physics, Math, Geology)
M.Sc. (1964) Banaras Hindu University (Geophysics), India
Ph.D. (1971) Banaras Hindu University (Geophysics), India
Sc.D. (1976) Massachusetts Institute of Technology (Meteorology), USA
PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE:
2003- present Chairman, Climate Dynamics, George Mason University
1994 - present Professor of Earth Sciences and Global Change, George Mason University
1991 - present President, Institute of Global Environment and Society
1984 - 2004 Director, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies
1984 - 1993 Professor, Department of Meteorology, University of Maryland
1979 - 1983 Senior Scientist, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center
1978 - 1979 Visiting Associate Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
1976 - 1977 Research Associate, Princeton University
1971 - 1976 Research Assistant, Research staff (M.I.T., Princeton)
1965 - 1971 Junior Scientific Officer, Indian Inst. of Tropical Meteor., Pune, India
HONORS AND AWARDS
Rossby Research Medal (Amer. Met. Soc.), 2005
Scientist of the year, 2004, Association of Indians in America
Sir Gilbert Walker Gold Medal, 2001
Associate Fellow, Third World Academy of Sciences, 1996
Fellow, Indian Meteorological Society, 1996
Fellow, American Meteorological Society, 1986
Exceptional Scientific Achievement Medal, NASA, 1982
Exceptional Performance Award, Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA, 1981
Outstanding Contribution to First GARP Global Experiment, 1980
Fulbright Travel Grant, 1971
United National Fellowship, 1967
TEACHING:
As a faculty member at MIT, UMCP and GMU, advisor/co-advisor for Ph.D.thesis of 15 students.
SCIENTIFIC PUBLICATIONS AND LECTURES:
Author/coauthor of about 150 scientific papers and coauthor of about 20 reports
Editor/contributor for 5 books
About 300 seminars, invited lectures and conference presentations
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SCIENTIFIC COLLABORATORS: Coauthors of Papers in Refereed Journals
J. Anderson, Atlas, Baker, Bamzai, Bangaru, Baumhefner, Bengtsson, Brankovic, Carton, Chang, Charney,
Chen, Das, DeWitt, Dirmeyer, Doty, Estoque, Fennessy, Godbole, Goswami, Gutzler, Hahn, Halem, Herman,
Huang, Jiing,, Kalnay, Kinter, Kirtman, Krishnamurhty, Marshall, Marx, Mintz, Misra, Mo, Mooley, Moura,
Nigam, C. Nobre, P. Nobre, Palmer, Paolino, Phillips, Ploshay, Randall, K.R.Saha, Sajnani, Sanders, Sato,
E.Schneider, Schubert, Sellers, Sethumadhavan, Suryanarayana, Straus, Sud, Suarez, Tribbia, Vernekar,
Wallace, P.Webster, Wu, Xue, Yanai, Yang, Yasunari, Zhou, Zhu
SCIENTIFIC COLLABORATORS: Coauthors of Panel and Committee Reports
D. Anderson, Arkin, Austin, Baker, Barnett, Barber, Bengtsson, Blackmon,Boville, Branstator, Brown,
F.Bryan, K. Bryan, Busalacchi, Cane, Charney, Chelton, Clark, Dahl, Duplessy, Elachi, Esbensen, Fuguno,
Garstag, Gates, Gent, Ghil, Goodrich, Gordon, Halpern, Harrison, Houze, Hudlow, Kiehl, Krishnamurti,
Lukas, Mahlman, Manton, Matsuno, McBean, Molinari, Moritz, Murakami, Neelin, Niiler, North, Randall,
Rasmusson, Sarachik, Schott, Simpson, Solomon, Spencer, Stommel, Sumi, Suomi, Thiele, Trenberth,
Wallace, F. Webster, P. Webster, Weinman, Weller, Wilheit, Young, Zipser
SCIENTIFIC WORKING GROUPS: Joint Modeling Experiments; Committees
AMIP, CLIVAR NEG-1, DSP, ECMWF-ERA, MONEG, NCEP-CDAS, NCAR-CSM, SMIP, TOGA-NEG,
TPOP; MONEX, TRMM, TOGA, GOALS, CLIVAR, ACCP, JSC
INSTITUTION BUILDING:
Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies (COLA), Calverton, Maryland, USA
National Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF), New Delhi, India
Physics of Weather and Climate, ICTP, Trieste, Italy
CPTEC, Brazil, Organizer training of Brazilian scientists at COLA
International Pacific Research Center (IPRC), U. Of Hawaii, Co-author, Initial Science Plan.
International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRIPC-IRI), Co-author, Initial Proposal
Gandhi Degree College, Village - Mirdha, Ballia, UP, India
Climate Dynamics Ph.D. Program, George Mason University
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NATIONAL/INTERNATIONAL COMMITTEE, PANELS:
Member, 2001-, Joint Scientific Committee (JSC), World Climate Research Program (WCRP)
Member, 2000-2001, Asian Australian Monsoon Working Group, US CLIVAR
Chairman, 1999- 2001, Seasonal-Interannual Modeling Panel (SIMAP), US CLIVAR
Chairman, 2001, International Conference on Monsoons, New Delhi, India
Member, 2001-, Editorial Board, Earth & Planetary Sciences, Indian Academy of Sciences
Member, 1998-2000, Science Steering Committee, Climate Variability, US CLIVAR
Member, 1997-2000, Science Steering Committee, Climate System Modeling (CSM), UCAR
Member, 1995-2000, PAGES/CLIVAR Working Group, WCRP
Member, 1995-1998, TOGA Numerical Experimentation Group (TOGA-NEG), WCRP
Member, 1996-1998, CLIVAR Monsoon Panel, WCRP
Member, 1996-1997, Science Working Group, International Pacific Research Center (IPRC), Hawaii
Member, 1994-1997, U.S. Panel on GOALS, National Research Council (NRC), NAS
Member, 1993-1996, Climate Data Analysis (CDAS), Advisory Committee for NCEP, UCAR
Member, 1991-1995, International Scientific Steering Committee, (CLIVAR), WCRP
Co-chairman, 1994, International Conference on Monsoons, Trieste, Italy
Member, 1992-1994, Atlantic Climate Change Program (ACCP), OGP/NOAA
Chairman, 1992, Steering Committee for Study Conference on GOALS, NRC/NAS
Director, Workshop on Mediterranean Processes, August 1992, Venice, Italy
Scientific Coordinator, 1991-1994, International Institute for Earth, Environmental and Marine
Sciences and Technologies (IIEM), Trieste, Italy
Member, 1991-1993, GEWEX Panel on Continental Scale Project (GCIP)
Member, 1991-1993, External Advisory Group, ECMWF Reanalysis (ERA)
Member, 1991-1998, Scientific Advisory Committee, Venice Center for Marine Sciences
Director, NATO Advanced Research Workshop (ARW) on Prediction of Interannual Climate
Variations, International School for Advanced Studies (ISAS), July 1991, Trieste, Italy.
Chairman, 1989, Organizing Committee, TOGA Ad-hoc, panel meeting on Reanalysis
Chairman, 1989 - 1992, U.S. Panel on Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere (TOGA), NRC/NAS
Member, 1989 - 1994, International Monsoon Numerical Experimentation Group (MONEG)
Member, 1989 - 2000, Editorial Board, Journal of Indian Meteorological Society, MAUSAM
Scientific Advisor, 1989-1990, National Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, India
Member, 1983-1988, U.S. Panel on TOGA (NRC/NAS)
Member, 1984 - 1989, International Scientific Steering Group on TOGA,WCRP
Member, 1987 - 1991, Panel on Dynamical Extended Range Forecasting (DERF), NRC/NAS
Member, 1987 - 1990, Air-Sea Fluxes Working Group, WCRP
Director, Summer school on physical climatology, May-June, 1988, ICTP, Trieste, Italy
Member, 1988 - 1991, Scientific Steering Committee (and co-project leader) for International Center for
Earth Sciences (ICE), Trieste, Italy
Member, 1986 - 1990, Computer Steering Committee, Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA
Member, 1986 - 1989, Science Steering Committee for TRMM, NASA
Chairman, 1985, Organizing Committee, Meeting on Interannual Variations of Monsoon (US TOGA)
Member, 1984-1987, Indian Ocean Panel, Committee on Climate Change and Ocean (CCCO)
Program Leader, 1984 - 1990, U.S.-India Science and Technology Initiative (STI) on Monsoon
Member, 1982 - 1985, Climate Research Committee, NRC/NAS
Member, 1982 - 1984, Advisory Board, Equatorial Pacific Ocean Climate Studies, (EPOCS)
Member, 1983 - 1986, Committee on Climate Variations, American Meteor. Soc., (AMS)
Lead Scientist, 1983 - 1983, Global Habitability Program, GSFC/NASA
Member, 1975 - 1983, Panel on Monsoon Experiment (MONEX), NRC/NAS
Chief Scientist, 1977 - 1979, Monsoon Experiment (FGGE/GWE) in Bay of Bengal (NSF)
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2. SERVICE TO COMMUNITY:
a. Scientific Programs
He has been chairman/member of numerous national and international panels and
committees concerned with the advancement of the atmospheric and oceanic
sciences including the monsoon climate program of the World Meteorological
Organization. He was the founding member/chair of the scientific steering
group of the following national and international programs:
MONEX Monsoon Experiment (US and WCRP)
STI Science and Technology Inititative (US India)
TRMM Tropical Rain Measurement Mission (NASA)
DERF Dynamical Extended Range Forecasting (NAS/NRC)
TOGA Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere (US and WCRP)
GOALS Global Ocean Atmosphere Land Systems (NAS/NRC)
CLIVAR Climate Variability (International SSG)
ERA External Advisory Committee on ECMWF Reanalysis
GCIP GEWEX Continental Scale Project (CLIVAR)
ACCP Atlantic Climate Change Program (NOAA)
SIMAP Seasonal-Interannual Modeling & Prediction (US CLIVAR)
AAMWG Asian Australian Monsoon Working Group (US CLIVAR)
COPES- Coordinated Obs. and Prediction of the Earth System (WCRP)
JSCMP- Joint Scientific Committee Modeling Panel (WCRP)
b. Institution Building
i. COLA and IGES, USA
He is the founder of the Institute of Global Environment and Society (a non-
profit institute registered in Maryland) and the Center for Ocean-Land-
Atmosphere Studies (COLA). IGES and COLA freely provide models, data, and
data analysis and display software (GrADS) to the research community. COLA
has also developed a desktop weather forecast system that can be used for
research and operational forecasts.
ii. NCMRWF, India
When India received the first supercomputer from the USA under a special
(Ronald Reagan-Rajiv Gandhi) agreement for monsoon forecasting, he was
invited by India to establish the scientific infrastructure of the monsoon forecast
supercomputer center in New Delhi. He was the scientific leader in establishing
the National Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF) in
New Delhi, India. He helped recruit the scientific staff and implemented a global
data analysis-assimilation-forecast system in India to make weather forecasts
using a global model.
iii. Physics of Weather and Climate, Italy
He conducted regular workshops, symposia and training courses for the benefit
of the scientists from developing countries at the International Center for
Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, leading to the establishment of a permanent
research group at ICTP.
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iv. CPTEC, Brazil
He organized the training of researchers from Brazil at COLA to use and develop
the COLA atmosphere model for routine weather predictions at CPTEC,
Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil.
v. IRI, USA
He was one of the members of the group that proposed the scientific plan for the
establishment of the International Research Institute for Climate Prediction at
Columbia University, New York.
vi. IPRC, USA
He was one of the members of the Science Working Group that prepared the
scientific plan for the establishment of the International Pacific Research Center
at Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu.
vii. Gandhi College, India
He has established a degree college for the education of students, especially
women, in the rural village of Mirdha in the Ballia district of India.
viii. Climate Dynamics, GMU, USA
He is the founding chair of the Climate Dynamics Ph.D. program which he
helped establish at George Mason University.
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3. SCIENTIFIC CONTRIBUTIONS:
c. Scientific Basis for Dynamical Extended Range Forecasting (DERF)
One of his most significant contributions was the advancement of the hypothesis that the spatially and
temporally averaged atmospheric circulation is dynamically predictable for periods beyond the limits of
deterministic weather prediction. This work, in conjunction with Miyakoda's pioneering research on
monthly forecast experiments, provided a scientific basis for Dynamic Extended Range Forecasting
(DERF). His innovative GCM experiments on the predictability of monthly averages and his sensitivity
experiments on the influence of boundary conditions were crucial in persuading an otherwise skeptical
community that there is a physical basis in dynamically predicting monthly and seasonal averages. It is
likely that, in the not too distant future, seasonal predictions of the atmospheric circulation and rainfall
will be done routinely using dynamical models.
Boundary Forcings as a Mechanism for the Interannual Variability of the
d.
Atmospheric Circulation
He presented a simple paradigm for mechanisms that determine the interannual variability of the
atmospheric circulation. He suggested that for conceptual simplicity it is useful to consider the total
variability as consisting of that due to the internal dynamics and that due to variations in the boundary
conditions. He carried out a large number of GCM sensitivity experiments and diagnostic studies to
model the effects of variations in different boundary conditions. He was awarded the NASA Gold Medal
for Exceptional Scientific Achievement with the following citation:
For distinguished scientific contributions to the physical understanding of the role of the earth surface
boundary forcings on the predictability of the large scale climate fluctuations through observational
analysis and numerical modeling experiments, and for management and leadership of an outstanding
climate modeling group.
e. Predictability of the Tropical Atmosphere
He was the first to point out (Shukla 1981) that the theoretical limit of deterministic prediction for the
tropics is considerably smaller (3-7 day) than that for the mid-latitudes (2-3 weeks). This is because the
tropical errors, largely influenced by moist-convection, reach their climatological saturation values much
more quickly than in mid-latitudes. The magnitudes of these saturation values are small compared to
those for mid-latitudes. He also pointed out that, for the same reason, monthly and seasonal averages are
potentially far more predictable in the tropics because they are primarily determined by variations in the
boundary conditions.
f. Monsoon Dynamics
In his Ph.D. thesis he proposed a theory for the formation of monsoon disturbances, locally referred to as
monsoon depressions, that form over the Bay of Bengal and move over India. He showed that these
disturbances represent on instability of the horizontally and vertically shearing monsoon winds modified
by moist convection. This was the first attempt to carry out linear instability analysis with horizontal and
vertical shear and moist convection as represented by the Arakawa and Schubert parameterization.
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g. Monsoon predictability
Both his pioneering numerical experiment on the influence of Arabian Sea SST on the Indian monsoon
using the GFDL model and diagnostic studies with D. Hahn at GFDL on the relationship between
Eurasian snow cover and the Indian monsoon rainfall formed the basis for Charney and Shukla to suggest
that monsoons have a degree of predictability due to the effects of the boundary conditions.
h. Long Range Forecasting of Monsoons
In a collaborative study with Paolino he showed that the summer monsoon rainfall over India is far more
strongly correlated with the tendency of the Southern Oscillation in the preceding winter and spring
season than the Southern Oscillation itself. This simple diagnostic result gave a clear explanation for the
failure of Walker's attempt to forecast monsoon rainfall using the Southern Oscillation.
i. Land-Climate Interactions (deforestation, desertification)
An idealized study by Shukla and Mintz (1982) on the role of land surface evapotranspiration on climate
combined with the earlier works of Charney on the influence of changes in albedo helped establish the
importance of land surface processes in climate variability and predictability. He and his colleagues have
shown that: Amazon deforestation can produce significant changes in temperature, evaporation and
rainfall; the climatic effects of deforestation are largely determined by changes in albedo; although the
Sahel drought was probably initiated by planetary scale atmosphere-ocean-land interactions, the local
land-surface effects play an important role in perpetuating the drought; and initial values of soil wetness
are important in determining seasonal mean temperature and rainfall.
j. Predictability of Weather and Climate
He has carried out a large number of predictability studies using atmospheric GCMs to investigate the
predictability of weather, predictability of monthly and seasonal averages; predictability of tropical
oceans; and predictability of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system.
k. Reanalysis
He is one of the pioneers of reanalysis. As a member of the US TOGA panel and the scientific steering
group of the international TOGA, he put forward the idea of reanalysis. Bengtsson and Shukla published a
paper in 1988 advancing the concept of reanalysis. To test the feasibility of reanalysis, COLA carried out
a pilot reanalysis project. His suggestions on reanalysis to produce climate data sets, which were not well
received in the beginning, have now been accepted by the entire community and several groups around
the world are carrying out reanalysis to produce data for climate research.
l. Predictability in the midst of chaos
Synthesizing many years of research on climate predictability, he published a paper in Science in 1998 to
confirm the scientific basis for climate prediction. This has clarified an apparent contradiction between
the lack of weather predictability beyond two weeks and the very high predictability of seasonal means
for periods well beyond the limit of weather predictability.
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4. PUBLICATIONS
2006
DelSole, T., and J. Shukla, 2006: Specification of Wintertime North American Surface Temperature. J.
Climate (in press).
Huang, B., and J. Shukla, 2006a: On the mechanisms of the interannual variability in the tropical Indian
Ocean, Part I: The role of remote forcing from tropical Pacific. J. Climate (in press).
Huang, B., and J. Shukla, 2006b: On the mechanisms of the interannual variability in the tropical Indian
Ocean, Part II: Regional processes. J. Climate (submitted).
Shukla, J., T. DelSole, M. Fennessy, J. Kinter, and D. Paolino, 2006: Climate Model Fidelity and
Projections of Climate Change. GRL (submitted).
Shukla, J. and J. L. Kinter III, 2006: Predictability of seasonal climate variations: A pedagogical review.
In Predictability of Weather and Climate, T. Palmer and R. Hagedorn, eds. (in press).
2005
Huang, B., and J. Shukla, 2005: The ocean-atmosphere interactions in the tropical and subtropical
Atlantic Ocean. J. Climate, 18, 1652-1672.
Kang, I.-S. and J. Shukla, 2005: Dynamical seasonal prediction and predictability of monsoon. In The
Asian Monsoon (B. Wang, ed.), Praxis Pub. Ltd., Chichester, UK., 585-612
Wang, B., Q. Ding, X. Fu, I.-S. Kang, K. Jin, J. Shukla and F. Doblas-Reyes, 2005: Fundamental
challenge in simulation and prediction of summer monsoon rainfall. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32,
L15711, doi: 10.1029/2005GL022734.
2003
Straus D., D. Paolini, J. Shukla, S. Schubert, M. Suarez, P. Pegion, and A. Kumar, 2003: Predictability of
the Seasonal Mean Atmospheric Circulation During Autumn, Winter and Spring. J. climate, 16,
No. 22, 3629-3649.
2002
Del Sole, T., and J. Shukla, 2002: Linear prediction of Indian monsoon rainfall. J. Climate, 15,
3645-3658.
Kang, I.-S., K. Jin, K.-M. Lau, J. Shukla, V. Krishnamurthy, and coauthors, 2002a: Intercomparison of
atmospheric GCM simulated anomalies associated with the 1997-98 El Ni o event. J. Climate,
15, 2791-2805.
Kang, I.-S., K. Jin, B. Wang, K.-M. Lau, J. Shukla, V. Krishnamurthy, and coauthors, 2002b:
Intercomparison of the climatological variations of Asian summer monsson precipitation
simulated by 10 GCMs. Climate Dyn., 19, 383-395.
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Kirtman, B. P., and J. Shukla, 2002: Interactive coupled ensemble: A new coupling strategy for CGCMs.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 1367, doi:10.1029/2002GLO14834.
Straus, D. M., and J. Shukla, 2002: Does ENSO force the PNA? J. Climate, 15, 2340 - 2358.
2001
Blackmon, M.,, J. Shukla,, E. K. Schneider, and coauthors, 2001: The Community Climate System
Model. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82, 2357-2376.
Kirtman, B. P., J. Shukla, M. Balmaseda, N. Graham, C. Penland, Y. Xue, S. Zebiak, 2001c: Current
status of ENSO forecast skill. World Climate Research Program (WRCP) Report, 23/01, 26 pp.
Krishnamurthy, V., and J. Shukla, 2001: Observed and model simulated interannual variability of the
Indian monsoon. Mausam, 52, 133-150.
Shukla, J. (ed.), 2001: Dynamics of Large-Scale Atmospheric and Oceanic Processes: Selected Papers of
Jule Gregory Charney. A. Deepak Publ. (Hampton, VA, 611 pp).
2000
Kirtman, B. P., and J. Shukla, 2000: Influence of the Indian Summer Monsoon on ENSO. Quart. J. Royal
Meteor. Soc., 126, 213-239.
Krishnamurthy, V. and J. Shukla, 2000: Intraseasonal and interannual variability of rainfall over India. J.
Climate, 13, 4366-4377.
Reale, O. and J. Shukla, 2000: Modeling the effects of vegetation on Mediterranean climate during the
Roman classical period. Part II: Model simulation. Global and Planetary Change,25, 185-214.
Shukla, J., D. A. Paolino, D. M. Straus, D. DeWitt, M. Fennessy, J. L. Kinter, L. Marx and R. Mo, 2000:
Dynamical Seasonal Predictions with the COLA Atmospheric Model. Quart. J. Royal. Meteor.
Soc.,126, 2265-2291.
Shukla, J., J. Anderson, D. Baumhefner, C. Brankovic, Y. Chang, E. Kalnay, L. Marx, T. Palmer, D. A.
Paolino, J. Ploshay, S. Schubert, D. M. Straus, M. Suarez, J. Tribbia, 2000: Dynamical Seasonal
Prediction, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 2593-2606.
Straus, D. M. and J. Shukla, 2000: Distinguishing between the SST-forced variability and internal
variability in mid-latitudes: Analysis of observations and GCM simulations. Quart. J. Royal
Meteor. Soc,126, 2323-2350.
1999
Bamzai, A. S., and J. Shukla, 1999: Relation between Eurasian Snow Cover, Snow Depth, and
the Indian Summer Monsoon: An Observational Study. J. Climate, 12, 3117-3132.
Fennessy, M. J., and J. Shukla, 1999: Impact of Initial Soil Wetness on Seasonal Atmospheric Prediction.
J. Climate, 12, 3167-3180.
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Schneider, E. K., B. Huang, D. G. DeWitt, J. L. Kinter, B. P. Kirtman, and J. Shukla, 1999: Ocean Data
Assimilation Initialization and Prediction of ENSO with a Coupled GCM. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127,
1187-1207.
Shukla, J., J. L. Kinter, E. K. Schneider, D. M. Straus, 1999: Chapter 3: Modeling of the Climate System.
Climate Change: an integrated perspective. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Editors: P. Mertens
and J. Rotmans, 51-104.
1998
Shukla, J., 1998: Predictability in the Midst of Chaos: A Scientific Basis for Climate Forecasting.
Science, 282, 728-731.
Webster, P.J., V.O. Magana, T.N. Palmer, J. Shukla, R.A. Tomas, M. Yanai, and T. Yasunari, 1998: The
monsoon: Processes, predictability, and prediction. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 144**-*****.
Xue, Y. and J. Shukla, 1998: Model Simulation of the Influence of Global SST Anomalies on the Sahel
Rainfall. J. Climate, 126, 2782-2792.
1997
Huang, B., and J. Shukla, 1997a: An examinationof AGCM simulated surface wind stress and low level
winds over the tropical Pacific Ocean. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 985-998.
Huang, B., and J. Shukla, 1997b: Characteristics of interannual and decadal variability in a general
circulation model of the tropical Atlantic Ocean. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 27, 1693-1712.
Kirtman, B.P., J. Shukla, B. Huang, Z. Zhu and E.K. Schneider, 1997: Multiseasonal predictions with a
coupled tropical ocean global atmosphere system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 789-808.
Schneider, E.K., Z. Zhu, B. Huang, B. Giese, B.P. Kirtman, J. Shukla, and J. Carton, 1997: ENSO
variability in a coupled general circulation model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 680-702.
Straus, D.M., and J. Shukla, 1997: Variations of mid-latitude transient dynamics associated with ENSO.
J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 777-790.
1996
Dirmeyer, P.A., and J. Shukla, 1996: The effect on regional and global climate of expansion of the
World s deserts. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 122, 530, 451-482.
Huang, B. and J. Shukla, 1996: A comparison of two surface wind analyses over the tropical Atlantic
during 1980-87. J. Climate, 9, 906-927.
Nobre. P. and J. Shukla, 1996: Variations of sea surface temperature, wind stress and rainfall over the
tropical Atlantic and South America. J. Climate, 9, 2464-2479.
Xue, Y. and J. Shukla, 1996: The influence of land surface properties on Sahel climate. PART II:
Afforestation. J. Climate, 9, 3260-3275.
1995
Huang, B., J.A. Carton and J. Shukla, 1995: A numerical simulation of the variability in the tropical
Atlantic Ocean, 1980-88. J. Phys. Oceanog., 25, 835-854.
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Paolino, D. A., Q. Yang, B. Doty, J. Kinter, J. Shukla, D. Straus, 1995: Results of a pilot reanalysis
project at COLA. Bulletin of the American Meterological Society, 76, 697-710.
Schneider, E.K., B. Huang, and J. Shukla, 1995: Ocean Wave Dynamics of El Ni o. J. Climate, 8, 2415-
2439.
Shukla, J. 1995: On the initiation and persistence of the Sahel drought. Natural Climate Variability on
Decade-to-Century Time Scales, National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 44-48.
1994
Dirmeyer, P. A. and J. Shukla, 1994: Albedo as a modulator of climate response to tropical deforestation.
J. Geophys. Res., 99, 923-935.
Fennessy, M. J. and J. Shukla, 1994: GCM Simulations of active and break monsoon periods. Proc.
MONEG International Conference on Moonsoon Variability and Prediction, Trieste, Italy, 9-13
May, 1994.
Fennessy, M. J., J. L. Kinter III, B. Kirtman, L. Marx., S. Nigam, E. Schneider, J. Shukla., D. Straus. A.
Vernekar, Y. Xue, and J. Zhou, 1994: The simulated Asian monsoon: A GCM sensitivity study.
J. Climate, 7, 33-43.
Vernekar, A., J. Zhou and J. Shukla, 1994: The effect of Eurasian snow cover on Indian monsoon.
J. of Climate, 8, 248-266.
Yang, R., M. J. Fennessy and J. Shukla, 1994: The influence of initial soil wetness on medium range
surface weather forecasts, Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 471-485.
Yang, R., J. Shukla and P. J. Sellers, 1994: The influence of changes in vegetation type on the surface
energy budget. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 11, 139-161.
1993
Dirmeyer, P. A. and J. Shukla, 1993: Observational and Modeling Studies of the Influence of Soil
Moisture Anomalies on Atmospheric Circulation (Review). Prediction of Interannual Climate
Variations. NATO ASI Series I: Global Environmental Change, Vol. 6, Editor: J. Shukla, 1-24.
Fennessy, M.J., J.L. Kinter III, L. Marx, P. Sellers and J. Shukla, 1993: Influence of initial soil wetness
on GCM simulation of th 1988 U.S. drought and heat wave. Conference on Hydroclimatology
(Anaheim, CA, 17-22 January 1993).
Goswami, B. N. and J. Shukla, 1993: Aperiodic variability in the Cane-Zebick model: A diagnostic
study. J. Climate, 5, 628-638.
Robinson, A.R., C.J. Garrett, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli, S. Manage, S.G. Philander, N. Pinardi, W. Roether,
F.A. Schott and J. Shukla, 1993: Mediterranean and Global Ocean and Climate Dynamics. EOS
Transactions, American Geophysical Union, Vol. 74, No. 44, 506-507.
Shukla, J. 1993: Predictability of short-term climate variations. Prediction of Interannual Climate
Variations. NATO ASI Series I: Global Environmental Change, Vol. 6, Editor: J. Shukla, 217-
232.
Vernekar, A., J. Zhou and J. Shukla, 1993: The effect of Eurasian spring snow cover on Indian summer
monsoon. WCRP-80, WMO/TD-No. 546, 69-73.
11
Xue, Y. and J. Shukla, 1993: The influence of land surface properties on Sahel climate. PART I:
Desertification. J. Climate, 6, 2232-2245.
1992
Fennessy, M. J. and J. Shukla, 1992: Influence of Global SST on GCM simulations of the Northern
Hemisphere Monsoon Circulations of 1987 and 1988. Report of the Monsoon Numerical
Experimentation Group Workshop on Interannual and Intraseasonal Variability of Monsoons
(October 21-24, 1991), WMO, WCRP-68, WMO/TD-No. 470, 2.37-2.46.
Fennessy, M. J., L. Marx, J. L. Kinter III and J. Shukla, 1992: The influence of global SST on the 1988
U.S. Drought: A comparison with two general circulation models. Proc. Workshop on 1988
U.S. Drought, Department of Meteorology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742.
Shukla, J. and M. J. Fennessy, 1992: Idealized numerical experiments to diagnose the simulated Asian
summer monsoon circulation and rainfall. Report of the Monsoon Numerical Experimentation
Group Workshop on Interannual and Intraseasonal Variability of Monsoons (October 21-24,
1991), WMO, WCRP-68, WMO/TD-No. 470, 2.153-2.157.
1991
Carton, J. A. and J. Shukla, 1991: Predictability of the tropical Atlantic Ocean. J. of Marine Systems, 1,
299-313.
Fennessy, M. J. and J. Shukla, 1991: A comparison of the impact of the 1982-83 and 1986-88 Pacific
SST anomalies on time mean prediction of atmospheric circulation and rainfall. J. Clim., 4,
407-423.
Goswami, B. N. and J. Shukla, 1991: Predictability and variability of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model.
J. of Marine Systems, 1, 217-228.
Goswami, B. N. and J. Shukla, 1991: Predictability of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Climate, 3,
2-22.
Kinter III, J. L., J. Shukla, L. Marx and B. Doty, 1991: Relationship between GCM forecast errors and
seasonal variability: Tropical heating and extratropical circulation. IUGG XX General
Assembly, IAMAP Symposium on Large-Scale Atmospheric Flow and Variability
(Vienna, Austria, 19-23 August, 1991). IAMAP, 1991.
Nobre, C. A., P. J. Sellers and J. Shukla, 1991: Amazonian deforestation and regional climate change. J.
Climate, 4, 957-988.
Shukla, J., M. J. Fennessy, J. L. Kinter III, L. Marx and E. K, Schneider, 1991: Seasonal predictions with
the COLA GCM. Proc. ICTP/WMO Technical Conference on Long-Range Weather
Forecasting Research, 249.
Xue, Y., P. J. Sellers, J. Kinter and J. Shukla, 1991: A simplified model for global climate studies. J.
Climate, 4, 345-364.
1990
Kinter, J. L. and J. Shukla, 1990: The global hydrologic and energy cycles: Suggestions for studies in the
pre-GEWEX period. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 71, 181-189.
12
Shukla, J., C. A. Nobre and P. J. Sellers, 1990: Amazonia deforestation and climate change. Science, 247,
1322-1325.
1989
Kinter, J. L. and J. Shukla, 1989: Meeting Review: Reanalysis for TOGA (Tropical Oceans Global
Atmosphere). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 70, 1422-1427.
Mooley, D. A. and J. Shukla, 1989: Index of activity of the monsoon trough over India. MAUSAM, 40,
247-258.
Mooley, D. A. and J. Shukla, 1989: Main features of the westward-moving summer monsoon low
pressure systems which form over the Indian regions during the summer monsoon season and
their relation to the monsoon rainfall. MAUSAM, 40, 137-152.
Sato, N., P. J. Sellers, D. A. Randall, E. K. Schneider, J. Shukla, J. L. Kinter III, Y.-T. Hou and E.
Albertazzi, 1989: Effects of implementing the simple biosphere model (SiB) in a general
circulation model. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 2757-2782.
Sato, N., P. J. Sellers, D. A. Randall, E. K. Schneider, J. Shukla, J. L. Kinter III, Y.-T. Hou and E.
Albertazzi, 1989: Effects of implementing the simple biosphere model (SiB) in a general
circulation model: Methodologies and results. NASA Contractor Report 185509,
NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, 76 pp.
Shukla, J., 1989: Tropical forecasting: Predictability perspective. Austral. Meteor. Mag., 37, 141-153.
1988
Bengtsson, L. and J. Shukla, 1988: Integration of space and in situ observation to study climate change.
Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 69, 1130-1143.
Charney, J. G., E. Kalnay, E. K. Schneider and J. Shukla, 1988: A study of the dynamics of the ITCZ in a
symmetric atmosphere-ocean model. (Joint IUTAM/IUGG Symposium on Monsoon Dynamics
(5-9 December 1977), New Delhi, India, NASA Tech. Memo. 86220, 20pp.
Fennessy, M. J. and J. Shukla, 1988: Impact of the 1982-3 and 1986-7 Pacific SST anomalies on time
mean prediction with the GLAS GCM. Proceedings of a Workshop on Modelling the Sensitivity
and Variations of the Ocean-Atmosphere System (11-13 May, 1988), ECMWF, England, World
Climate Research Program Report: WCRP-15. (WMO/TD - No. 254), Geneva, pp. 26-44.
Fennessy, M. J. and J. Shukla, 1988: Numerical simulation of the atmospheric response to the
time-varying El Ni o SST anomalies during May 1982 through October 1983. J. Climate, 1,
195-211.
Kinter, J. L., J. Shukla, L. Marx, E. Schneider, 1988: A simulation of the winter and summer circulation
with the NMC global spectral model. J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 2486-2522.
Mooley, D. A. and J. Shukla, 1988: Characteristics of the westward-moving summer monsoon low
pressure systems over the Indian region and their relationship with the monsoon rainfall.
Department of Meteorology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA.
13
Shukla, J., 1988: Predictability of monthly mean circulation and rainfall: Part I: Classical dynamical
predictability experiments; and Part II: Influences of 1982-83 and 1986-87 El Ni o SST
anomalies. Proceedings of the Workshop on Predictability in the Medium and Extended Range
(16-18 May 1988), ECMWF, England, 251-261.
Shukla, J., 1988: Variability of rainfall over tropical oceans: Scientific basis and justification for
TRMM. Tropical Rainfall Measurements. Editors: J. S. Theon and N. Fugono, A. Deepak
Publishing, pp. 75-79.
Shukla, J. and M. Fennessy, 1988: Prediction of time mean atmospheric circulation and rainfall:
Influence of Pacific SST anomaly. J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 9-28.
Shukla, J., D. A. Mooley and D. A. Paolino, 1988: Long range forecasting of summer monsoon rainfall
over India. Persistent meteo-oceanographic anomalies and teleconnections, Pontificale
academiae scientiarum scripta varia, 69. Editors: C. Chagas and G. Puppi, Pontificia Academia
Scientiarum, pp. 147-178.
Straus, D. M. and J. Shukla, 1988: A comparison of a GCM simulation of the seasonal cycle of the
atmosphere to observations. Part I: Mean fields and the annual harmonic. Atmosphere-Ocean,
26, 541-574.
Straus, D. M. and J. Shukla, 1988: A comparison of a GCM simulation of the seasonal cycle of the
atmosphere to observations. Part II: Stationary waves and transient fluctuations.
Atmosphere-Ocean, 26, 575-607.
Straus, D. M. and J. Shukla, 1988: The seasonal cycle of energetics from the GLAS/UMD Climate GCM.
NASA Tech. Memo. 100714.
Sud, Y. C., J. Shukla, and Y. Mintz, 1988: Influence of land-surface roughness on atmospheric
circulation and rainfall: A sensitivity study with GCM. J. Clim. App. Meteor., 27, 1036-1054.
1987
Mooley, D. A. and J. Shukla, 1987: Evaluation of April 500 mb ridge and Darwin pressure trend as
predictors for Indian monsoon rainfall. Proceedings of the Fifth Conference on Applied
Meteorology (10-12 March 1987), Baltimore, MD, published by AMS, 46-48.
Mooley, D. A. and J. Shukla, 1987: Variability and forecasting of the summer monsoon rainfall over
India. Monsoon Meteorology. Editors: C. P. Chang and T. N. Krishnamurti. Oxford University
Press, pp. 26-59.
Shukla, J, 1987: General circulation modeling and the tropics. Geophysiology of Amazonia:Vegetation
and Climate Interactions. Editor: R. E. Dickinson, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., pp. 409-461.
Shukla, J., 1987: Interannual variability of monsoons. Monsoons. Editors: Jay S.Fein and Pamela L.
Stephens, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., pp. 399-464.
Shukla, J., 1987: Long range forecasting of Indian monsoons. Science Age, November, 21-23.
Shukla, J, 1987: Long range forecasting of monsoons. Monsoons. Editors: Jay S. Fein and Pamela L.
Stephens, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., pp. 523-547.
Shukla, J, 1987: Numerical simulation of atmospheric response to observed SST anomalies and oceanic
response to observed wind stress: Intercomparison of results from various GCMs. Proceedings
14
of the Workshop on Predictability in the Medium and Extended Range (17-19 March 1986),
ECMWF, England, pp. 205-220.
Shukla, J. and D. A. Mooley, 1987: Empirical prediction of the summer monsoon rainfall over India.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 695-703.
1986
Shukla, J., 1986: SST anomalies and blocking. Advances in Geophysics, Vol. 29. Editor: R. Benzi,
Academic Press, Inc., pp. 443-452.
1985
Fennessy, M. J., L. Marx and J. Shukla, 1985: General circulation model sensitivity to 1982-83
equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 858-864.
Shukla, J., 1985: Air-Sea-Land Interactions: Global and Regional Habitability. Origins of Life, 15, Rydell
Publishing Co., Holland, 353-363.
Shukla, J., 1985: Predictability. Issues in atmospheric and oceanic modeling, Part II. Weather
Dynamics. Advances in Geophysics, Vol. 28B. Editor: S. Manabe, Academic Press, Inc., pp.
87-122.
Shukla, J. and E. M. Rasmusson, 1985: Variability of the tropical circulation. Proceedings of the
TOGA Conference (Paris, September 1984), WCRP Publication Series No. 4 (WMO/TD - No.
65), 1985, pp. II.24-II.39. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva.
1984
Goswami, B. N. and J. Shukla, 1984: Quasi-periodic oscillations in a symmetric general circulation
model. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 20-37.
Goswami, B. N., J. Shukla, E. K. Schneider and Y. C. Sud, 1984: Study of the dynamics on the
intertropical convergence zone with a symmetric version of the GLAS climate model. J. Atmos.
Sci., 41, 5-19.
Gutzler, D. S. and J. Shukla, 1984: Analogs in the wintertime 500 mb height field. J. Atmos. Sci., 41,
177-189.
Shukla, J., 1984: Predictability of a large atmospheric model. Predictability and Turbulence, American
Institute of Physics. Editors: G. Holloway and B. J. West, pp. 449-456.
Shukla, J., 1984: Predictability of time averages, Part II. The influence of the boundary forcing.
Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting. Editors: D. N.
Burridge and E. Kallen, Springer-Verlag, pp. 155-206.
1983
Chen, T. C. and J. Shukla, 1983: Diagnostics analysis and spectral energetics of a blocking event in
GLAS climate model simulation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 3-23.
Estoque, M. A., J. C. Jiing and J. Shukla, 1983: African wave disturbances in a General Circulation
Model. Tellus, 35A, 287-295.
15
Mo, K. C. and J. Shukla, 1983: Persistent anomalies of the Southern Hemisphere circulation. NASA
Tech. Memo. 84983, pp. 139-141.
Shukla, J., 1983: Ability and limitations of general circulation models to simulate climate and climate
variability. Proceedings of the Study Conference on the Physical Basis for Climate
Prediction of Seasonal, Annual and Decadal Time Scales (Sept. 13-17, 1982), Leningrad,
USSR. WCP-47, pp. 97-127.
Shukla, J., 1983: Comments on "Natural variability and predictability." Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 581-585.
Shukla, J., 1983: On physical basis and feasibility of monthly and seasonal prediction with a large GCM.
Proceedings of WMO-CAS/JAS Expert Study Conference on Long Range Forecasting (1-4
December, 1982), Princeton, NJ, WMO, LRF Publ. Series No. 1., pp. 142-153.
Shukla, J. and D. S. Gutzler, 1983: Interannual variability and predictability of 500 mb geopotential
heights over the Northern Hemisphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 1273-1279.
Shukla, J. and K. C. Mo, 1983: Seasonal and geographical variation of blocking. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111,
388-402.
Shukla, J. and D. A. Paolino, 1983: The Southern Oscillation and long range forecasting of the summer
monsoon rainfall over India. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 1830-1837.
Shukla, J. and J. M. Wallace, 1983: Numerical simulation of the atmospheric response to equatorial
Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 1613-1630.
1982
Shukla, J., 1982: Predictability of time averages: The influence of the boundary forcing. NASA Tech.
Memo. 85092, (NTIS #8411624), pp. 63.
Shukla, J., 1982: Predictability of the tropical atmosphere. Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere Newsletter,
November, 7-9.
Shukla, J. and W. E. Baker, 1982: Analysis and prediction of the monsoon flow during the summer
MONEX. Proceedings of the International Conference on Scientific Results of the
Monsoon Experiment (October, 1981), Indonesia, (published by ICSU/WMO, Geneva)
4.3-4.11.
Shukla, J. and Y. Mintz, 1982: The influence of land-surface evapotranspiration on the earth's climate.
Science, 214, 1498-1501.
1981
Charney, J. G. and J. Shukla, 1981: Predictability of monsoons. Monsoon Dynamics, Editors: Sir James
Lighthill and R. P. Pearce, Cambridge University Press, pp. 99- 109.
Charney, J. G., J. Shukla and K. C. Mo, 1981: Comparison of a barotropic blocking theory with
observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 762-779.
Chen, T. C., H. G. Marshall and J. Shukla, 1981: Wavenumber-frequency spectra and maintenance of
large-scale moving waves by nonlinear interactions at 200 mb of GLAS general circulation
model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 959-974.
16
Godbole, R. V. and J. Shukla, 1981: Global analysis of January and July sea level pressure. NASA Tech.
Memo. 82097.
Kalnay, E., W. E. Baker and J. Shukla, 1981: Numerical prediction of the large scale tropical flow.
Proceedings of the Symposium on Meteorological Aspects of Tropical Droughts (7-11 December,
1981), New Delhi, India, (Published by WMO).
Moura, D. A. and J. Shukla, 1981: On the dynamics of droughts in northeast Brazil: Observations, theory
and numerical experiments with a general circulation model. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 2653-2675.
Paolino, D. and J. Shukla, 1981: Interannual variability of monsoon rainfall and Northern Hemispheric
surface pressure. Proceedings of the Symposium on Meteorological Aspects of Tropical Droughts
(7-11 December, 1981), New Delhi, India. Edited by R. P. Pearce. World Meteorological
Organization, pp. 41-48
Saha, K. R., F. Sanders and J. Shukla, 1981: Westward-propagating predecessors of monsoon
depressions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 330-343.
Shukla, J., 1981: Dynamical predictability of monthly means. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 2547-2572.
Shukla, J., 1981: Physical basis for prediction of tropical droughts. Proceedings of the Symposium on
Meteorological Aspects of Tropical Droughts (7-11 December, 1981), New Delhi, India. Edited
by R. P. Pearce, World Meteorological Organization, pp. 27-40.
Shukla, J., 1981: Predictability of the tropical atmosphere. NASA Tech. Memo. 83829, pp 51.
Shukla, J., 1981: Structure and dynamics of monsoon depressions: The MONEX depression (July 1979).
(Invited paper) Proceedings of the FGGE/MONEX Meeting (January, 1981), Tallahassee,
Florida, p. 11.3-11.7 (published by ICSU/WMO, Geneva). NASA Tech. Memo. 83907, pp.
217-222.
Shukla, J. and Y. C. Sud, 1981: Effect of cloud-radiation feedback on the climate of a general circulation
model. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 2337-2353.
Shukla, J., R. Atlas and W. E. Baker, 1981: Numerical prediction of the monsoon depression of 5-7 July,
1979. Proceedings of the FGGE/MONEX Meeting (January, 1981), Tallahassee, Florida, p.
11.3-11.7 (published by ICSU/WMO, Geneva). NASA Tech. Memo. 83907, pp. 223-230.
Shukla, J., K. C. Mo and M. Eaton, 1981: Climatology of blocking in the GLAS climate model. NASA
Tech. Memo. 83907, pp. 207-216.
Shukla, J., D. Straus, D. Randall, Y. Sud and L. Marx, 1981: Winter and summer simulations with the
GLAS climate model. NASA Tech. Memo. 83866, pp. 1-282.
Straus, D. M. and J. Shukla, 1981: Global and local fluctuations of winter and summer simulations with
the GLAS climate model. NASA Tech. Memo. 83907, pp. 231-236.
Straus, D. M. and J. Shukla, 1981: Space-time spectral analysis of the GLAS model. J. Atmos. Sci., 38,
902-917.
1980
17
Saha, K. R. and J. Shukla, 1980: Further evidence of association of westward propagating disturbances
with monsoon depressions. FGGE Operations Report No. 9, 23-31.
Shukla, J., Y. Sud and E. Sabatino, 1980: Preliminary results of a January simulation with an improved
version of the GLAS model. NASA Tech. Memo. 80650, pp. 121-132.
1979
Halem, M., J. Shukla, Y. Mintz, M. L. Wu, R. Godbole, G. Herman and Y. Sud, 1979: Climate
comparisons of a winter and summer numerical simulation with the GLAS general circulation
model. GARP Publication Series, 22, 207-253.
Shukla, J., and B. Bangaru, 1979: Effect of a Pacific SST anomaly on the circulation over North
America: A numerical experiment with the GLAS model. GARP Publication Series, 22,
501-518.
1978
Shukla, J., 1978: CISK-barotropic-baroclinic instability and the growth of monsoon depressions. J.
Atmos. Sci., 35, 495-508.
1977
Charney, J. G. and J. Shukla, 1977: Predictability of Monsoons. Presented at the Joint IUTAM/IUGG
Symposium on Monsoon Dynamics (5-9 December, 1977), New Delhi, India.
Shukla, J. 1977: Barotropic-baroclinic instability of mean zonal wind during summer monsoon. Pure and
Appl. Geop., 115, 1449-1462.
Shukla, J. and B. N. Misra, 1977: Relationships between sea surface temperature and wind speed over
the Central Arabia Sea, and monsoon rainfall over India. Mon. Wea. Rev., 105, 998-1002.
1976
Hahn, D. and J. Shukla, 1976: An apparent relationship between Eurasia snow cover and Indian monsoon
rainfall. J. Atmos. Sci., 33, 2461-2463.
Shukla, J., 1976: Reply. J. Atmos. Sci., 253-255.
1975
Shukla, J., 1975: Effect of Arabian sea-surface temperature anomaly on Indian summer monsoon: A
numerical experiment with GFDL model. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 503-511.
18
1974
Shukla, J. and K. R. Saha, 1974: Computation of non-divergent stream functions and irrational velocity
potential from the observed winds. Mon. Wea. Rev., 102, 419-425.
1973
Phillips, N. A. and J. Shukla, 1973: On the strategy of combining coarse and find grid meshes in
numerical weather prediction. J. Appl. Met., 12, 736-770.
1972
Mooley, D. A. and J. Shukla, 1972: Concurrent association between 700 mb, 5 day mean contour
patterns and 5 day rainfall anomaly over India during July. Indian J. Meteor. Geophys., 23, 29-34.
Shukla, J., 1972: Barotropic Model, A Review. Indian J. Meteor. Geophys., 23, 201-206.
1971
Shukla, J., 1971: On the numerical solution of diabatic quasi-geostrophic omega equations. Indian J.
Meteor. Geophys., 22, 35-46.
Shukla, J. and P. P. Sajnani, 1971: A note on the magnitude of horizontal divergence. Indian J. Meteor.
Geophys., 22, 235-236.
1970
Shukla, J. and K. R. Saha, 1970: Application of nondivergent barotropic model to predict flow patterns in
the Indian region. J. Met. Soc. of Japan, 48, 405-410.
1969
Shukla, J., 1969: An iterative scheme for diagnostic studies: A proposal. Indian J. Meteor. Geophys., 20,
119-122.
Shukla, J., 1969: A numerical experiment on a disturbance in the tropical easterlies. J. Met. Soc. of
Japan, 47, 109-114.
Shukla, J., 1969: An objective method of quantitative estimation of abnormal pentad rainfall over
Ratnagiri during July. Indian J. Meteor. Geophys., 20, 59-60.
1968
Shukla, J. and R. Suryanarayana, 1968: Forecasting five-day mean contours of 700 mb using empirical
influence co-efficients. Indian J. Meteor. Geophys., 19, 407-412.
Shukla, J., S. K. Das and S. S. Kutival, 1968: Forecasting of pentad rainfall anomaly over Allahabad
during the month of July. Scientific Report No. 58, India Meteorological Department.
Shukla, J., S. K. Das and A. Sethumadhavan, 1968: Forecasting pentad rainfall anomaly over coastal
Andhra Pradesh in July. Indian J. Meteor. Geophys., 19, 445-448.
19
1967
Shukla, J., 1967: An objective method of forecasting pentad rainfall anomaly in Konkan coast during
July. Indian J. Meteor. Geophys., 18, 363-366.
20
COMMITTEE AND PANEL REPORTS:
2000: Community Climate System Model Plan (2000-2005), 2000: NCAR/UCAR, pp. 47.
1997: A Scientific Strategy of U.S. Participation in CLIVAR/GOALS, National Research Council,
(NAS).
1995: CLIVAR Science Plan, World Climate Research Program (ICSU, WMO, UNESCO)
1994: Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System (GOALS) for Predicting Seasonal-to-Interannual
Climate, Climate Research Committee, National Research Council (NAS).
1991: Prospects for Extending the Range of Prediction of the Global
Atmosphere. Panel on DERF. National Research Council (NAS).
1990: TOGA. A Review of Progress and Future Opportunities. Panel on TOGA. (NRC/NAS)
1989: Reanalysis for TOGA. Ad-Hoc Panel on TOGA Reanalysis. National Research Council (NAS).
1989: Prospects for Extending the Range of Prediction of the Global Atmosphere. Panel on Dynamical
Extended Range Forecasting. National Research Council (NAS).
1989: Tropical Rain Measurement Mission. (TRMM). Report of the Science Steering Group for
TRMM. NASA.
1988: Atmosphere Forcing for Ocean Circulation. INO-TOGA-WOCE workshop, Report 89-1.
1988: Modeling the Sensitivity and Variations of the Ocean-Atmosphere System. WCRP -15
(WMO/TD-No. 254). WMO, Geneva.
1986: U.S. Participation in the TOGA program: A Research Strategy. Advisory panel for the Tropical
Ocean/Global Atmosphere (TOGA) program. National Research Council (NAS).
1986: Comparison of Simulations by Numerical Models of the Sensitivity of the Atmospheric
Circulation to Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies. WCP-121 (WMO/TD No. 138). WMO,
Geneva.
1985: Scientific Plan for the Tropical Ocean and Global Atmosphere (TOGA) Program. International
Scientific Steering Group for TOGA. WCRP Publication Series No. 3, WMO/TD No. 64. WMO,
Geneva.
1985: Report of a Workshop on the Interannual Variability, TOGA and Monsoons.
US TOGA Report No. 5.
1982: Report of the planning meeting for the Monsoon Climate Program. The World Climate Research
Program. WCP-27, WMO, Geneva.
1980: Report of the Workshop on Drought Forecasting for Northeast Brazil and Plans for Climate
Research in Brazil. Brazilian National Research Council, Sao Jose dos Campos, Sao Paulo,
Brazil.
21
1977: Plan for U.S. Participation in the Monsoon Experiment (MONEX). Monsoon Experiment Panel.
National Research Council (NAS).
1975: Report of the meeting on Weather-Food Interactions. Endicott House, M.I.T.
22
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