David Ubilava, Ph.D.
Agricultural and Resource Economics Phone: +61 2 9351 4686
The University of Sydney Fax: +61 2 9351 4953
R.D. Watt Building Room 105, Science Road Email: *****.*******@******.***.**
The University of Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia URL: http://www.ubilava.com
Research and Teaching Interests
Agribusiness Management and Marketing, Applied Econometrics, Climate Dynamics,
Nonlinear Time Series Modelling and Forecasting, Price Analysis
Education
Ph.D. in Agricultural Economics, Purdue University (USA), 2010
M.S. in Agricultural Economics, Purdue University (USA), 2006
B.S. in Economics, Georgian State Agrarian University (Georgia), 2003
Experience
Lecturer (Assistant Professor): May, 2012 present
Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, The University of Sydney
Post-Doctoral Research Associate: July, 2010 April, 2012
Department of Agricultural Economics, Mississippi State University
Graduate Research Assistant: August, 2005 June, 2010
Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University
Research
Refereed Journal Articles
(1) Ubilava, D. and C.G. Helmers (2013). Forecasting ENSO with a Smooth Transition
Autoregressive Model. Environmental Modelling & Software 40, 181 190.
(2) Ubilava, D. (2012). El Ni o, La Ni a, and World Co ee Price Dynamics. Agricultural
n n
Economics 43(1), 17 26.
(3) Ubilava, D. (2012). Modeling Nonlinearities in the U.S. Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratio: A
Smooth Transition Autoregression Approach. Agribusiness: an International Journal
28(1), 29 41.
Last updated: December, 2012
(4) Ubilava, D. and M.T. Holt (2012). El Ni o Southern Oscillation and its E ects on
n
World Vegetable Oil Prices: Assessing Asymmetries using Smooth Transition Models.
Australian Journal of Agricuotural and Resource Economics (accepted).
(5) Ubilava, D., B.J. Barnett, K.H. Coble, and A. Harri (2011). The SURE Program and
Its Interaction with Other Federal Farm Programs. Journal of Agricultural and
Resource Economics 36(3), 630 648.
(6) Ubilava, D., K.A. Foster, J.L. Lusk, and T. Nilsson (2011). Di erences in Consumer
Preferences when Facing Branded versus Non-branded Choices. Journal of Consumer
Behaviour 10(2), 61 70.
(7) Ubilava, D., K.A. Foster, J.L. Lusk, and T. Nilsson (2010). E ects of Income and Social
Awareness on Consumer WTP for Social Product Attributes. Technological Forecasting
and Social Change 77(4), 587 593.
(8) Ubilava, D. and K.A. Foster (2009). Quality certi cation vs. product traceability:
Consumer preferences for informational attributes of pork in Georgia. Food Policy
34(3), 305 310.
Other Refereed Publications
(1) Dismukes, R., K.H. Coble, D. Ubilava, J.C. Cooper, C. Arriola, et al. (Sept. 2011).
Alternatives to a State-Based ACRE Program: Expected Payments Under a National,
Crop District, or County Base. USDA Economic Research Service.
Manuscripts in Review
(1) Tack, J.B. and D. Ubilava. The E ect of El Ni o Southern Oscillation on U.S. Corn
n
Production and Downside Risk. (in rst review).
Research in Progress
(1) Ubilava, D. El Ni o Southern Oscillation and Primary Commodity Prices: Causal
n
Inferences from Smooth Transition Models.
(2) Ubilava, D., K.H. Coble, R. Dismukes, and B.J. Barnett. Shallow Loss vs. Deep Loss
Programs: An Assessment of Expected Payments and Downside Risk.
(3) Ubilava, D. and M. Holt. Price Transmission in World Wheat Markets and El Ni o
n
Southern Oscillation.
Other Publications
(1) Dismukes, R., C. Arriola, K. Coble, and D. Ubilava (Mar. 2012). Switching the Payment
Trigger for an Area-Based Revenue Program Could Increase Participation. USDA
Economic Research Service.
(2) Coble, K.H., J.C. Miller, B.J. Barnett, and D. Ubilava (Oct. 2010). Alternative Farm
Policy Scenarios for the 2012 Farm Bill. A Report for the American Farm Bureau
Federation.
Last updated: December, 2012
(3) Coble, K.H., J.C. Miller, B.J. Barnett, and D. Ubilava (Sept. 2010). Review of Federal
Crop Insurance Program Experience and Participation. A Report for the American
Farm Bureau Federation.
Proceedings
(1) Kuethe, T., D. Ubilava, B. Delbecq, and K.A. Foster (2008). Evaluating Changes in
Voter Preference Using Prediction Market Prices: The Case of the 2008 US Democratic
Presidential Nomination . In: 7th Workshop on e-Business. Paris, France.
(2) Ubilava, D. (2006). The Importance of Marketing Tools for Accessing Markets by
Agribusiness Firms of Newly Emerged Market Economy Countries. Journal of Food
Distribution Research 37(1), 190.
Selected Presentations and Posters
( Presenting Author, Poster)
(1) Coble, K.H., D. Ubilava, R. Dismukes, and B.J. Barnett (Mar. 2012). Evaluating the
Risk Reduction of Shallow Loss versus Wrapped Farm Policy. 2012 Annual Meeting of
the SCC-76 Economics and Management of Risk in Agriculture and Natural
Resources Group. Pensacola Beach, FL.
(2) Tack, J.B. and D. Ubilava (Feb. 2012). The E ect of the El Ni o Southern Oscillation
n
on U.S. Corn Production and Downside Risk. Southern Agricultural Economics
Association 2012 Annual Meeting. Birmingham, AL.
(3) Tack, J.B. and D. Ubilava (Mar. 2012). The E ect of the El Ni o Southern Oscillation
n
on U.S. Corn Production and Downside Risk. 2012 Annual Meeting of the SCC-76
Economics and Management of Risk in Agriculture and Natural Resources Group.
Pensacola Beach, FL.
(4) Villoria, N.B. and D. Ubilava (Aug. 2012). The E ects of El Ni o Southern Oscillation
n
on World Agriculture . Agricultural & Applied Economics Association 2012 Annual
Meeting. Seattle, WA.
(5) Ubilava, D. and C.G. Helmers (July 2011). The ENSO Impact on Predicting World
Cocoa Prices. Agricultural & Applied Economics Association 2011 Annual Meeting.
Pittsburgh, PA.
(6) Ubilava, D. and M.T. Holt (July 2009). Nonlinearities in World Major Vegetable Oil
Prices: El Ni o E ects. Agricultural & Applied Economics Association 2009 Annual
n
Meeting. Milwaukee, WI.
(7) Ubilava, D. (Feb. 2008). Analysis of the Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratio and its Impact on
Farmers Planting Decision-Making in Indiana. Southern Agricultural Economics
Association 2008 Annual Meeting. Dallas, TX.
(8) Ubilava, D. and J.T. Akridge (June 2008). Management of Agribusiness Services:
Precision Service O erings and Pro tability of Retail Crop Input Dealers . International
Food and Agribusiness Management Association 18t h Annual World Forum &
Symposium. Monterey, CA.
Last updated: December, 2012
(9) Ubilava, D., K.A. Foster, J.L. Lusk, and T. Nilsson (July 2008). Di erences in U.S.
Consumer Preferences for Certi ed Pork Chops when Facing Branded vs. non-Branded
Choices. Agricultural & Applied Economics Association 2008 Annual Meeting. Orlando,
FL.
(10) Ubilava, D., K.A. Foster, J.L. Lusk, and T. Nilsson (June 2008). E ects of Income and
Social Awareness on Heterogeneous Consumers WTP for Informational Attributes.
Western Agricultural Economics Association 2008 Annual Meeting. Big Sky, MT.
(11) Ubilava, D. and K.A. Foster (Feb. 2007). Targeting Consumers by Store the Basis of
Increased Sales with Less Advertising. Southern Agricultural Economics Association
2007 Annual Meeting. Mobile, AL.
(12) Ubilava, D. and K.A. Foster (June 2007). Value of the Trust of Georgian Pork
Consumers: Analysis of the in-Store Stated Choice Experiment . International Food and
Agribusiness Management Association 17t h Annual World Forum & Symposium.
Parma, Italy.
(13) Ubilava, D. and K.A. Foster (June 2006). Consumer Consciousness on Meat Products
Incentive for Higher Quality Production and Basis for Marked-Up Pricing [Case of
Georgia (Country)]. International Food and Agribusiness Management Association 16t h
Annual World Forum & Symposium. Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Awards
(2009) AAEA Student Travel Grant
(2008) AAEA Student Travel Grant
(2008) WAEA Student Travel Grant
(2006) IAMA Student Case Study Competition (2nd Place)
(2006) IAMA Student Travel Grant
(2005-2009) Edmund S. Muskie Doctorate Fellowship
Professional Service
Refereeing Service
Agribusiness: an International Journal; Agricultural Economics; American Journal of
Agricultural Economics; Applied Economics Perspectives and Policy; Environmental
Management; International Food and Agribusiness Management Review; Oxford Bulletin of
Economics and Statistics
Committee Service
(2008-2009) AAEA Graduate Student Section chair
(2007-2008) AAEA Graduate Student Section chair-elect
(2007-2008) Purdue Agricultural Student and Curriculum Relations Committee member
(2006-2008) Departmental Seminars Series Committee member
Last updated: December, 2012
(2006-2007) Purdue University Department of Agricultural Economics Graduate Student
Organization president
Organized Symposia
Open Source for Academics: An Introduction to LaTeX and R. Southern Agricultural
Economics Association 42nd Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2010, Orlando, FL.
Student Adviser Match: Path to the Successful Career. Agricultural and Applied
Economics Association 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Milwaukee, WI.
Professional Membership
Agricultural & Applied Economics Association
Agricultural Economics Society
American Economic Association
Australian Agricultural & Resource Economics Society
Computer Skills
MS O ce, R, SAS, MATLAB, L TEX, HTML
A
Language Skills
English ( uent), Russian ( uent), Georgian (native)
Last updated: December, 2012