Ajay Shah
********@*****.***
http://www.mayin.org/ajayshah
Positions
Professor, National Institute for Public Finance and Policy, New Delhi
(2007-)
Consultant, Department of Economic A airs, Ministry of Finance, New
Delhi, (2001 2005).
Associate Professor, IGIDR, Bombay (2001).
Assistant Professor, IGIDR, Bombay (1996-2001).
President, CMIE, Bombay (1993-1996).
Consultant, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica (1990-1993).
Education
Ph.D. in Economics, University of Southern California, Los Angeles.
B.Tech. in Aeronautical Engineering, I.I.T., Bombay.
Awards and honours
Listed in Top 10 economists in the Indian Express supplement The Most
Powerful Indians in 2010, January 2010.
BH Economics Blog Awards 2009: Best South Asian Blog, December 2009.
Listed in Business Standard s Experts who wield enormous in uence in their
elds, January 2009.
BH Economics Blog Awards 2008: Best South Asian Blog, January 2008.
The Parallel Risk Management (prism) project won the Skoch Challenger
Award for innovative ICT initiatives, February 2004.
National Talent Search Scholarship, 1981.
1
Books
Ajay Shah, Susan Thomas, and Michael Gorham. India s Financial Markets:
An Insider s Guide to How the Markets Work. Elsevier, October 2008
Ila Patnaik, Abhijit Sengupta, and Ajay Shah. Determinants of trade mis-
invoicing. Open Economies Review, 2011 (forthcoming)
Ajay Shah and Ila Patnaik. Foreign shareholding: A decomposition analysis.
Applied Financial Economics, 21(10):743 746, 2011
Ila Patnaik, Ajay Shah, and Rudrani Bhattacharya. Export versus FDI in
services. World Economy, 2011 (forthcoming)
Ila Patnaik, Ajay Shah, and Giovanni Veronese. How to measure in ation
in India? Economic and Political Weekly, XLVI(16):55 64, April 2011
Ila Patnaik, Ajay Shah, Anmol Sethy, and Vimal Balasubramaniam. The
exchange rate regime in Asia: From crisis to crisis. International Review of
Economics and Finance, 20(1):32 43, 2011
Achim Zeileis, Ajay Shah, and Ila Patnaik. Testing, monitoring, and dating
structural changes in exchange rate regimes. Computational Statistics &
Data Analysis, 54(6):1696 1706, June 2010
Ila Patnaik and Ajay Shah. Does the currency regime shape unhedged
currency exposure? Journal of International Money and Finance, 29:760
769, 2010
Ila Patnaik and Ajay Shah. Why India choked when Lehman broke. India
Policy Forum, 6, 2009-10
Ila Patnaik and Ajay Shah. The di culties of the Chinese and Indian ex-
change rate regimes. European Journal of Comparative Economics, 6(1):157
173, June 2009
Shruthi Jayaram, Ila Patnaik, and Ajay Shah. Examining the decoupling
hypothesis for India. Economic and Political Weekly, XLIV(44):109 116,
October 2009
Rudrani Bhattacharya, Ila Patnaik, and Ajay Shah. Early warnings of in-
ation in India. Economic and Political Weekly, pages 62 67, November
2008
2
Ajay Shah and Syed Abuzar Moonis. Testing for time variation in beta in
India. Journal of Emerging Markets Finance, 2(2):163 180, May August
2003
Mandira Sarma, Susan Thomas, and Ajay Shah. Selection of Value at Risk
models. Journal of Forecasting, 22(4):337 358, 2003
Ajay Shah. Investment risk in the Indian pension sector and the role for
pension guarantees. Economic and Political Weekly, XXXVIII(8):719 728,
22 February 2003
Susan Thomas and Ajay Shah. The stock market response to the Union
Budget. Economic and Political Weekly, XXXVII(5):455 458, February 2 8
2002
Ajay Shah and Susan Thomas. David and Goliath: Displacing a primary
market. Journal of Global Financial Markets, 1(1):14 21, Spring 2000
Ajay Shah and Susan Thomas. Market microstructure considerations in
index construction. In CBOT Research Symposium Proceedings, pages 173
193. Chicago Board of Trade, Summer 1998
Ajay Shah and Shuvam Misra. Building India s National Information Infras-
tructure. Economic and Political Weekly, XXXII(44 45):2880 2884, Novem-
ber 1997
Ajay Shah. Minimum asset-based tax: A critique. Economic and Political
Weekly, XXI(30):2046 2048, 27 July 1996
Chapters in books
Ajay Shah and Ila Patnaik. Managing capital ows: The case of india. In
Masahiro Kawai and Mario B. Lamberte, editors, Managing capital ows:
The search for a framework, chapter 9, pages 260 279. Edward Elgar Pub-
lishing, 2010
Ajay Shah and Ila Patnaik. Stabilising the Indian business cycle. In Sameer
Kochhar, editor, India on the growth turnpike: Essays in honour of Vijay L.
Kelkar, chapter 6, pages 137 154. Academic Foundation, 2010
Ajay Shah. New issues in macroeconomic policy. In T. N. Ninan, editor,
Business Standard India, chapter 2, pages 26 54. Business Standard Books,
2008
Ajay Shah and Ila Patnaik. India s experience with capital ows: The elusive
quest for a sustainable current account de cit. In Sebastian Edwards, editor,
Capital controls and capital ows in emerging economies: Policies, practices
3
and consequences, chapter 13, pages 609 643. The University of Chicago
Press, 2007
Ajay Shah. Improving governance using large IT systems. In S. Narayan, ed-
itor, Documenting reforms: Case studies from India, pages 122 148. Macmil-
lan India, New Delhi, 2006
Ajay Shah. Indian pension reform: A sustainable and scalable approach.
In David A. Kelly, Ramkishen S. Rajan, and Gillian H. L. Goh, editors,
Managing globalisation: Lessons from China and India, chapter 7. World
Scienti c, 2006
Raghuram Rajan and Ajay Shah. New directions in Indian nancial sector
policy. In Priya Basu, editor, India s nancial sector: Recent reforms, future
challenges, chapter 4, pages 54 87. Macmillan, 2005
Ajay Shah. Market e ciency on the Indian equity derivatives market. In
Susan Thomas, editor, Derivatives markets in India 2003, chapter 5, pages
99 119. Tata McGraw Hill, 2003
Ajay Shah and Susan Thomas. Policy issues in Indian securities markets. In
Anne Krueger and Sajjid Z. Chinoy, editors, Reforming India s External, Fi-
nancial and Fiscal Policies, Stanford Studies in International Economics and
Development, chapter 4, pages 129 147. Stanford University Press, 2003
Ajay Shah and Susan Thomas. Securities market e ciency. In James A.
Hanson, Patrick Honohan, and Giovanni Majnoni, editors, Globalization and
national nancial systems, chapter 6, pages 145 175. The World Bank and
Oxford University Press, 2003
Ajay Shah and Kshama Fernandes. The relevance of index funds for pension
investment in equities. In Robert Holzmann and Joseph Stiglitz, editors, New
Ideas About Old Age Security: Toward Sustainable Pension Systems in the
21st Century. World Bank, January 2001
Kirit S. Parikh and Ajay Shah. Second generation reforms. In Kirit S.
Parikh, editor, India Development Report 1999-2000, chapter 2, pages 25
34. Oxford University Press, 1999
Ajay Shah and Susan Thomas. Developing the Indian capital market. In
James A. Hanson and Sanjay Kathuria, editors, India: A nancial sector
for the Twenty rst century, chapter 7, pages 205 265. Oxford University
Press, 1999
Ajay Shah and Susan Thomas. Strengthen institutions for domestic mar-
kets. In Perspectives on international nancial liberalisation, Responses to
discussion paper 12 International nancial liberalization: Implications for
development by John Eatwell. UNDP O ce of Development Studies, April
1998
4
Ajay Shah and Susan Thomas. Securities markets. In Kirit S. Parikh,
editor, India Development Report 1997, chapter 10, pages 167 192. Oxford
University Press, February 1997
Ajay Shah. Telecommunications. In Kirit S. Parikh, editor, India Devel-
opment Report 1997, chapter 13, pages 239 250. Oxford University Press,
February 1997
Encyclopaedias and reference works
Ajay Shah and Ila Patnaik. India. In Jerry Caprio, editor, Encyclopaedia of
Financial Globalization, chapter 67. Elsevier, 2011
Ajay Shah. Securities markets. In Kaushik Basu, editor, The Oxford Com-
panion to Economics in India, pages 467 471. Oxford, 2007
Susan Thomas and Ajay Shah. Stock market indexes. In Kaushik Basu, ed-
itor, The Oxford Companion to Economics in India, pages 503 504. Oxford,
2007
Ajay Shah and Urjit Patel. Pension funds and social security. In Stanley
Wolpert, editor, Encyclopaedia of India. Charles Scribner s Sons, 2005
Committees and advisory roles
Chairman, Department of Posts Expert Committee on Role of Post O ces
in Financial Inclusion, December 2009.
Member, Ministry of Finance Working Group on Foreign Investment,
November 2009.
Board of directors, Ascent Capital Advisors, 2008-.
Member, Internal Working Group of Ministry of Finance on Internal Debt
Management, 2008.
Member, Task Force on Implementation of Goods and Service Tax, 13th
Finance Commission, 2008.
Member, Expert Advisory Group for Gujarat International Finance Tec-
City Company (GIFT), 2008-.
Board of directors, Gujarat State Fertilisers, 2006-.
Virtual member of Raghuram Rajan committee on nancial sector reforms,
2008
5
Core Team of Consultants for High powered expert committee on making
Mumbai an international nancial centre, chaired by Percy Mistry, Ministry
of Finance, 2007.
Member, Forward Markets Commission Risk management group, 2005 2007.
Board of directors, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, 1993 .
Board of directors, National Securities Clearing Corporation, 1997 .
Board of directors, Clearing Corporation of India Ltd., 2001 .
Advisor to Task force on FRBM Implementation, chaired by Vijay Kelkar,
Ministry of Finance, 2004.
Board of directors, National Commodity Derivatives Exchange, 2003-2005.
Board of directors, Deposit Insurance and Credit Guarantee Corporation.,
2000 2005.
Member, RBI Technical advisory committee on the money and government
securities markets, 1999-2001.
Member, RBI Advisory group on reforms in deposit insurance in India,
Chaired by Jagdish Capoor, 1999.
Member, RBI Technical group on the repo market, 1999.
Member, RBI Group on Securities Clearing Corporation, 1999.
Member, SEBI Risk management group, 2002 2005.
Member, SEBI s Secondary markets advisory committee, 2002 2004.
Member, SEBI s L. C. Gupta Committee on Policy for Derivatives (1996).
Member, Executive Committee, National Securities Depository Ltd., 1996-
2008
Member, Project OASIS Committee on old age social and income security
(Chaired by S. A. Dave), Ministry of Social Justice and Empowerment, 1999.
Member, Investment Committee for Endowment Fund, IIT, Bombay., 1999-
2000.
Board of Scholars, Centre for Civil Society, Delhi, 1999-.
Projects
Project which led to the creation of the NSE-50 index, funded by US AID
(with Susan Thomas).
6
Creation of NSE MIBOR, the methodology for reference rates on the inter-
bank call money market, 1998.
Research project: Parallel Risk Management ( prism): Risk containment
in real time using using Value at Risk, using parallel computation, for Na-
tional Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC), December 1998 (with Susan
Thomas).
Expository
Blog at http://ajayshahblog.blogspot.com
Fortnightly column in Financial Express from 2008 onwards. A fortnightly
column in Business Standard, 1997-2001 and 2005-2008. Have also written
opinion pieces in Wall Street Journal and Economic Times.
Ajay Shah. Black, Merton and Scholes: Their work and its consequences.
Economic and Political Weekly, XXXII(52):3337 3342, December 1997
Teaching
Courses taught: Undergraduate Statistics class, University of Southern Cal-
ifornia. At IGIDR: First year Ph.D. econometrics and second year Ph.D.
nance.
Ph.D. students guided: Tushar Waghmare, Jayatu Sen Chaudhury, Syed
Abuzar Moonis, Mandira Sarma, Santosh Kumar, Anuj Arora, Tirthankar
C. Pattnaik.
7